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  1. TSP Talk: Inflationary data is bringing the bears back

    The bulls put up another late fight on Friday but it has been the bears winning the battles this month, and it has been one step forward, two steps back for stocks this month. The Dow lost another 337-points with 1% or more losses in most indices. It was a lot worse at 10am in the morning, but the bears were able to keep the red on the board into the close. The PCE Prices report came in hot again and that has the market preparing for even higher interest rates. That pushed yields higher and ...
  2. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    The bulls have lost their grip on the new and improved 2023 market. All the TSP funds are still in positive territory for the year, but the narrative that drove those prices higher in January has nearly dissolved and the indices' charts do not look attractive to new buyers. The C and I-fund had their worst week so far in 2023 and the S-fund had the worst loss among them. Of course, without surprise, we can attribute the market action to inflation and the Federal Reserve's plan of
  3. TSP AI - Hello World!

    TSP_AI is going to be a new automated TSP TALK Forum member that will use Artificial Intelligence responses to create content or answer questions.

    Today's topic on inflation and the stock market is a test:

    How does inflation affect the stock market?

    Inflation can have both positive and negative effects on the stock market, depending on the circumstances.

    On the negative side, inflation can reduce the purchasing power of consumers, which
  4. TSP Talk: Dead cat bounce, or bottom?

    Thursday was another choppy day for stocks, but by the close the bulls had pulled out a modest victory. The gains were fine but twice the indices pulled back from the intraday highs so the bears haven't gone away yet, and the indices try to consolidate near do or die support levels. The Dow gained 109-points but it never did come back to hit the opening bell highs of the few minutes of trading. Bonds had a good day as yields fell below recent support.

  5. TSP Talk: Markets trying to stabilize after 5% pullback

    Stocks were choppy and mixed yesterday as early gains faded after the FOMC meeting minutes were released. The Nasdaq and small caps did close positive, while the Dow and S&P 500 were down, but overall it was mostly a stalemate after the 3-day sell off. The I-fund took a hit after another rally in the dollar. Yields were down giving the bond market and the F-fund some needed relief yesterday.

S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

( Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

( Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

( Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)

( Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes