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  1. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Technical analysis is more psychological/sociological speculation on investors than an exact science of chart patterns. An index lets us (everybody) observe where others were willing to buy and sell in the past. Everybody wants a discount on what they think is the true value of stocks. The stock price at the end of the previous Friday and into Monday was a price buyers knew they could find a safe discounted entry. The highs Thursday morning was where sellers thought they could get their best price ...
  2. Back to the Top of the Short Term Range - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    The bulls had a good week as we head into the long holiday weekend.

    Market Talk-s-p-500-png
    Market Talk-dwcpf-png

    Price is back to the top of the trading range on the S&P, while a bit under it on the DWCPF. Volume was underwhelming.

    Market Talk-nyad-png

    Breadth ticked higher and remains bullish.

    As I pointed out in my previous post today, NAAIM got less bullish, but not by a lot. Overall, they

    Updated 07-02-2020 at 06:24 PM by coolhand

  3. June Jobs Report +4.8 million, 11.1 pct. Unemployment

    Record jobs gain of 4.8 million in June smashes expectations; unemployment rate falls to 11.1%

    Nonfarm payrolls rose by 4.8 million in June, much better than the expected increase of 2.9 million.

    The unemployment rate fell to a crisis low of 11.1%, also better than the 12.4% estimate.
  4. TSP Talk: Jobs report meets holiday action

    Stocks were mixed on the first trading day in July, and the first day of the third quarter. The bulls took over after a flattish open, but there was some selling late in the day to take the indices off their highs. The Dow lost 78-points while the broader indices posted modest gains. Small caps lagged with the Russell 2000 losing about 1% on the day, but our S-fund clung to a small gain, thanks to midcaps having a decent day.

  5. Choppy Wednesday - Posted by Coolhand

    Quote Originally Posted by coolhand View Post
    We got a choppy day today.

    Transfer 9/23 for 9/24/04-s-p-500-png
    Transfer 9/23 for 9/24/04-dwcpf-png

    Price eked higher by the close. Momentum is flat. Price is also creeping toward the upper end of its current medium term range (past few weeks). Note that the 50 dma is getting very close to having a positive cross of the 200 dma on the S&P 500.

    Transfer 9/23 for 9/24/04-nyad-png

    Breadth was flat, but remains bullish overall. Keep in mind that while
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