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  1. TSP Talk: Protests in China starting to impact the market

    The seasonality chart did its job yesterday as it suggested weakness on the Monday after a positive Thanksgiving week of trading. Of course the headlines helped the bears as China deals with massive protests over Covid restrictions, and the market is worried about the ramifications of that situation. The Dow lost almost 500-points with similar percentage losses in the broader indices. Small caps lagged, yields and were mostly flat, and the dollar was up. The latter helped put the pressure on ...
  2. TSP Talk: The bulls hang onto pre-holiday gains. Now what?

    Thanksgiving week was favorable for the bulls with respectable gains of 1.4% to 2.4% for the TSP stock indices, and even the F-fund (bonds) gained over 1%. The Dow gained 153-points in the short day of trading on Friday, while the other indices were mixed. The S&P 500 was flat, the Nasdaq lagged with a moderate loss, and the small caps and I-fund led the way with solid gains.

    ...
  3. Intrepid Timer's Weekly Chart Analysis

    For the week ending 11-25-2022

    This is my analysis of the weekly charts for the S&P 500, IWM, the VIX and 10-year yields. Premium subscribers also receive a daily commentary with the daily charts and my timing system’s signals for both TSP and ETFs outside of TSP.

    Current YTD returns thru 11-25-2022:

    TSP:
    G fund: 2.59%
    F fund: -12.35% ...
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  4. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Seasonal bias went in the bulls' favor as expected. It was a typical low volume week that started slow and a bit directionless Monday. But the gains for the week were really put in motion on Tuesday when prices rose mostly uncontested all day for stock indices. Volatility picked up Wednesday, but the bulls reclaimed lost gains by the end of the day. The shortened trading Friday was quiet, and the price range was the smallest we've seen this year.

    So, with momentum still on the bulls' ...
  5. TSP Talk: So far so good for bullish holiday bias

    Just a quick update today to post the returns from Wednesday after another nice rally for stocks during this holiday week. The Dow added 96-points and we saw larger percentage gains in the broader market indices. The I-fund led again after the dollar fell sharply on Wednesday. Bonds were up as yields also fell.

    ...
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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