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  1. TSP Talk: End of quarter rebalancing rally?

    Stocks explode higher on Friday with a surge of buying at the open, and again at the close, with very few signs of selling in between. The Dow gained 823-points and it was the lagging index percentage-wise with the S&P, Nasdaq, small caps and Transports all gaining between 3% and 4% on the day. The question on all investors' minds is whether this is an indication of a bottoming process, or if the action is just a typical bear market rally destined to fail again.

  2. Intrepid Timer's Weekly Chart Analysis

    For the week ending 06-24-2022

    This is my analysis of the weekly charts for the S&P 500, IWM, the VIX and 10-year yields. Premium subscribers also receive a daily commentary with the daily charts and my timing system’s signals for both TSP and ETFs outside of TSP.

    Current YTD returns thru 06-24-2022:

    TSP: ETF:

    G fund: 1.10% UPRO (buy & ...
  3. TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up

    Stocks took a turn this week in response to the worst week since 2020. Both the C and S-funds ended the week up more than 6% with around half of those gains coming from Friday's action. Analysts credit this week's gains to slowing economic data that investors think will dissuade the Federal Reserve from aggressive rate hikes; the old 'bad news is good news' thought process when the Fed plans on tightening monetary policy. This does have validity, but the magnitude of this week's buying is made possible ...
  4. TSP Talk: Choppy action both daily and intraday

    Stocks rallied yesterday in another volatile day after stocks opened up near their highs, lost it all, and then rallied into the close to recapture those morning highs. That set up a nice positive reversal day on the charts. The Dow gained 194-points, while small caps and the Nasdaq led on the upside. Yields fell so the F-fund had another good day. It's been very choppy out there and we'll have to see if the bulls can put together back to back positive days.

  5. TSP Talk: The bears step aside for another day

    I would define the action on Wednesday as chippy. It gave both the bulls and bears something to chew on, but frustrated both as the deeply negative overnight futures rolled over into Wednesday's opening, but it was quickly bought. The bulls then took over until later in the afternoon where the buying dried up and the bears came back in the picture to pull those gains away and push the indices into the red, although basically flat. The Dow closed down 47-points but it was positive literally 3 ...
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