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  1. TSP Talk: Choppy action both daily and intraday

    Stocks rallied yesterday in another volatile day after stocks opened up near their highs, lost it all, and then rallied into the close to recapture those morning highs. That set up a nice positive reversal day on the charts. The Dow gained 194-points, while small caps and the Nasdaq led on the upside. Yields fell so the F-fund had another good day. It's been very choppy out there and we'll have to see if the bulls can put together back to back positive days.

  2. TSP Talk: The bears step aside for another day

    I would define the action on Wednesday as chippy. It gave both the bulls and bears something to chew on, but frustrated both as the deeply negative overnight futures rolled over into Wednesday's opening, but it was quickly bought. The bulls then took over until later in the afternoon where the buying dried up and the bears came back in the picture to pull those gains away and push the indices into the red, although basically flat. The Dow closed down 47-points but it was positive literally 3 ...
  3. TSP Talk: Stocks start the week with a rebound

    Stocks have been due for some relief and we saw some of that on Tuesday following 10 down weeks out of the last 11 for the three major indices. The Dow gained 641-points but there was a little selling in the final hour of trading as investors still show signs of being nervous in this "sell the rallies" environment. We saw a big bounce back in the energy sector as it led the way higher despite the price of oil - while up modestly yesterday - remaining near recent lows. Smalls caps and ...
  4. Intrepid Timer's Weekly Chart Analysis

    For the week ending 06-17-2022

    This is my analysis of the weekly charts for the S&P 500, IWM, the VIX and 10-year yields. Premium subscribers also receive a daily commentary with the daily charts and my timing system’s signals for both TSP and ETFs outside of TSP.

    Current YTD returns thru 06-17-2022:

    TSP: ETF:

    G fund: 1.04% UPRO (buy & hold): ...
  5. TSP Talk: A mixed and choppy expiration Friday for TSP Funds

    Stocks were mixed on Friday, the end of an expiration week that saw a spike in volume, which is typical and not necessarily an indication of a capitulation type of reversal, but it certainly is a cleansing as we enter the the final couple of weeks of the second quarter of this bear market year. The Dow dropped 38-points on Friday while the S&P was up modestly, and the Nasdaq and small caps led with impressive gains as investors favored the more aggressive and beaten down indices. The Dow, ...
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