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Daily Market Commentary

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  1. TSP Talk: Stocks end positive reversal week mixed on Friday

    We headed into Friday's open with the futures pointing significantly lower but as soon as that opening bell rang, the dip buyers got busy and did their thing, and the lows were made just after the opening bell. By the close the results were mixed with the Dow and S&P 500 posting minor gains while the Nasdaq, small caps, and the I-fund ended the week on a down note. For the week, only the I-fund couldn't recover from the losses from earlier in the week, and the C and S funds posted weekly gains ...
  2. TSP Talk: Can stocks rally if yields spike?

    Stocks raced through some stiff resistance like a hot knife through butter on Thursday. More big gains as the rally picked up steam off of Monday's lows. I'm not sure what was accomplished by the recent pullback, but the market sure acts differently than it used to many years ago, and a lot of that has to do with the tremendous increase in influence that the Federal Reserve and government spending has on the market and the economy. The action is good, but did the 5% pullback refresh all of the ...
  3. TSP Talk: Pre / post Fed rally tries to fill open gaps

    The Fed rarely fails to give the market what it wants, but investors have come to understand this and so this year we have seen rallies heading into the FOMC meetings. This time we had a pullback in the days leading up to the meeting, but there was a buying frenzy yesterday before the Fed's policy statement was delivered. Once the policy was announced we got the usual volatility, but the indices closed right about where they were before the announcement. Yes, it was a bullish move, but technically ...
  4. TSP Talk: All eyes on Fed after fading follow through

    The good news is, stocks didn't rollover for a second straight day and actually held up well. The bad news is, the highs were made right after the opening bell and decent morning gains turned into small gains to small losses, so there was no upside follow through to Monday's positive reversal action. Small caps and the I-fund did well, but like other indices, they both have some work to do on the charts to improve the technical picture. Bonds were flat and the dollar was down, while gold and ...
  5. TSP Talk: Chinese Evergrande tanks our markets?

    Stocks stumbled on wall of worry on Monday after news that a large Chinese real estate company may default on their debt, and it seemed to be the straw that broke the back of the market after several smaller issues chipped away for a few weeks. The Dow lost 614-points, well off the nearly 1000 points it was down at the lows, so dip buyers didn't stay away for too long, but now we find out if the bears are in a position to sell the rallies in this new downtrend. Bonds and the dollar were up. ...
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