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    TSP Talk Longer Term Market Outlook

    Our prior year TSP returns


                       2007 Longer Term Outlook Returns

    This is our "suggested" aggressive buy and hold account as discussed in our Longer Term Outlook Comments
    An allocation is made on the first of January and reevaluated on the first of July.

    You can find a blank spreadsheet on the Financial Utilities page to monitor your own returns.
    Email me if you have a question on how to fill it out or need more information about the data below.
     
    2006 TSP Longer Term Outlook Transactions and Returns
    2007 Return   2007 TSP Longer Term Allocations and Returns TSP TALK                      
                                          My My    
              Fund Price     Fund Allocation (%)   Fund Returns - (Incr/Dec) 20% in  Return  Return    
    Trans Start Date End Date G F C S I G F C S I G F C S I Each  Period  Year    
      2006 Price 11.71 11.14 15.69 18.76 22.22                              
    Start January 3-Jan-07 11.72 11.18 15.67 18.76 22.44 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.09% 0.36% -0.13% 0.00% 0.99% 0.26% 0.25% 0.25%    
    1 4-Jan-07 31-Jan-07 11.76 11.14 15.93 19.35 22.51 25% 0% 25% 25% 25% 0.34% -0.36% 1.66% 3.14% 0.31% 1.02% 1.36% 1.62% Jan 1.62%
    February 28-Feb-07 11.80 11.31 15.62 19.30 22.55 25% 0% 25% 25% 25% 0.34% 1.53% -1.95% -0.26% 0.18% -0.03% -0.42% 1.19% Feb -0.42%
    March 30-Mar-07 11.85 11.31 15.79 19.51 23.13 25% 0% 25% 25% 25% 0.42% 0.00% 1.09% 1.09% 2.57% 1.03% 1.29% 2.50% Mar 1.29%
    April 30-Apr-07 11.90 11.37 16.49 20.00 24.00 25% 0% 25% 25% 25% 0.42% 0.53% 4.43% 2.51% 3.76% 2.33% 2.78% 5.35% Apr 2.78%
    May 31-May-07 11.94 11.29 17.07 20.88 24.61 25% 0% 25% 25% 25% 0.34% -0.70% 3.52% 4.40% 2.54% 2.02% 2.70% 8.19% May 2.70%
    June 29-Jun-07 11.99 11.26 16.78 20.56 24.66 25% 0% 25% 25% 25% 0.42% -0.27% -1.70% -1.53% 0.20% -0.58% -0.65% 7.49% Jun -0.65%
    July  31-Jul-07 12.05 11.35 16.26 19.62 24.07 25% 0% 25% 25% 25% 0.50% 0.80% -3.10% -4.57% -2.39% -1.75% -2.39% 4.92% Jul -2.39%
    August 2-Aug-07 12.05 11.37 16.46 19.78 23.99 25% 0% 25% 25% 25% 0.00% 0.18% 1.23% 0.82% -0.33% 0.38% 0.43% 5.37%    
    2 3-Aug-07 31-Aug-07 12.09 11.49 16.51 19.89 23.9 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.33% 1.06% 0.30% 0.56% -0.38% 0.37% 0.19% 5.57% Aug 0.62%
    September 28-Sep-07 12.14 11.58 17.13 20.48 25.18 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.41% 0.78% 3.76% 2.97% 5.36% 2.65% 3.96% 9.75% Sep 3.96%
    October 31-Oct-07 12.19 11.68 17.4 21.06 26.31 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.41% 0.86% 1.58% 2.83% 4.49% 2.03% 2.89% 12.92% Oct 2.89%
    November 30-Nov-07 12.23 11.9 16.67 19.87 25.33 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.33% 1.88% -4.20% -5.65% -3.72% -2.27% -4.56% 7.76% Nov -4.56%
    December 31-Dec-07 12.28 11.93 16.56 19.79 24.76 0% 0% 35% 35% 30% 0.41% 0.25% -0.66% -0.40% -2.25% -0.53% -1.05% 6.64% Dec -1.05%
                                               
       My Return vs…                  4.78% 6.71% 5.68% 5.49% 10.34% 6.60%   6.64%    
       vs G Fund =    1.86%                 G F C S I Div   Mine    
     vs F Fund =    -0.07%                                    
     vs C Fund =    0.96%                                    
     vs S Fund =    1.15%                                    
     vs I Fund =      -3.70%                                    
     vs Div. Acct (20% each) =  0.04%                                    
    **  vs 40% F, 60% Stocks =    -0.35%                                    
                                               
    *  A positive number indicates my return is greater than other allocation.                             
     A negative number indicates my return is less than other allocation.                             
    **  40% F, 20% C, 20% S, 20% I Fund                                     

     


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