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    TSP Talk Longer Term Market Outlook

    Our prior year TSP returns


                       2005 Longer Term Outlook Returns

    This is our "suggested" aggressive buy and hold account as discussed in our Longer Term Outlook Comments
    An allocation is made on the first of January and reevaluated on the first of July.

    You can find a blank spreadsheet on the Financial Utilities page to monitor your own returns.
    Email me if you have a question on how to fill it out or need more information about the data below.
     
    2006 TSP Longer Term Outlook Transactions and Returns
    2005 TSP Longer Term Allocations and Returns   TSP TALK                    
                                      My My
          Fund Price     Fund Allocation (%)   Fund Returns - (Incr/Dec) 20% in  Return Return
    Trans End Date G F C S I G F C S I G F C S I Each  Period Year
    2004 Price 10.68 10.42 12.91 14.73 15.48                          
    1 January 10.72 10.48 12.60 14.23 15.19 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.37% 0.58% -2.40% -3.39% -1.87% -1.34% -2.10% -2.10%
      February 10.76 10.42 12.86 14.52 15.85 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.37% -0.57% 2.06% 2.04% 4.34% 1.65% 2.37% 0.22%
      March 10.80 10.37 12.64 14.25 15.45 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.37% -0.48% -1.71% -1.86% -2.52% -1.24% -1.64% -1.42%
      April 10.84 10.51 12.4 13.72 15.10 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.37% 1.35% -1.90% -3.72% -2.27% -1.23% -2.11% -3.49%
      May 10.88 10.62 12.79 14.55 15.04 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.37% 1.05% 3.15% 6.05% -0.40% 2.04% 2.57% -1.02%
      June 10.91 10.68 12.81 15.04 15.32 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.28% 0.56% 0.16% 3.37% 1.86% 1.25% 1.40% 0.37%
      July 10.95 10.59 13.28 15.88 15.79 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.37% -0.84% 3.67% 5.59% 3.07% 2.37% 3.50% 3.89%
      August 10.99 10.72 13.16 15.72 16.3 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.37% 1.23% -0.90% -1.01% 3.23% 0.58% 0.29% 4.19%
      September 11.03 10.61 13.27 15.85 16.90 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.36% -1.03% 0.84% 0.83% 3.68% 0.94% 1.47% 5.73%
      October 11.07 10.53 13.05 15.48 16.41 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.36% -0.75% -1.66% -2.33% -2.90% -1.46% -1.83% 3.79%
      November 11.11 10.57 13.54 16.21 16.81 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.36% 0.38% 3.75% 4.72% 2.44% 2.33% 3.16% 7.07%
      December 11.16 10.67 13.55 16.27 17.59 15% 0% 35% 25% 25% 0.45% 0.95% 0.07% 0.37% 4.64% 1.30% 1.35% 8.51%
                                       
     My Return vs…               4.49% 2.40% 4.96% 10.45% 13.63% 7.19%   8.51%
     vs G Fund =     4.01%               G F C S I Div   Mine
     vs F Fund =     6.11%                              
     vs C Fund =     3.55%                              
     vs S Fund =     -1.95%                              
     vs I Fund =     -5.12%                              
     vs Div. Acct (20% each) = 1.32%                              
    **  vs 40% F, 60% Stocks = 1.74%                              
                                         
    *  A positive number indicates my return is greater than other allocation.                    
     A negative number indicates my return is less than other allocation.                      
    **  40% F, 20% C, 20% S, 20% I Fund                              
                                         

     


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