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Thread: James48843 Account Talk

  1. #1321

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Sorry- it was me.

    I’ll leave it at that. Chalk it up to old age.


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  3. #1322

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Sorry- it was me.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #1323

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Sorry- it was me.


    If it makes you feel any better, I still can't load your "Inflation falls to 0.2%." thread, and it's not you...

    111.PNG
    Retired, 10G/90C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats


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  7. #1324

    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Sorry, I missed that one. It's probably the % sign in the title. The forum software doesn't like that. I'll fix it.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  9. #1325

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    ok- I'm feeling WARM AND FUZZY TODAY.



    I don't know if that means anything. but I think it's going to be a very nice day for stocks today. Yesterday's down side was just enough to release tension and ensure we're going to have a nice climb today.

    Here's to wishing for a nice climb in stocks today.

    And I'm thinking about a fall trip to the German Christmas Markets for a vacation. Anybody want to go? Spend a couple days in the Alps, and then Munich, and then to the Christmas Markets in Nuernberg? Road trip vacation anyone?

  10.  
  11. #1326

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    ok- I'm feeling WARM AND FUZZY TODAY.



    I don't know if that means anything. but I think it's going to be a very nice day for stocks today. Yesterday's down side was just enough to release tension and ensure we're going to have a nice climb today.

    Here's to wishing for a nice climb in stocks today.

    And I'm thinking about a fall trip to the German Christmas Markets for a vacation. Anybody want to go? Spend a couple days in the Alps, and then Munich, and then to the Christmas Markets in Nuernberg? Road trip vacation anyone?
    Looks like your warm and fuzzy might be right. Hope that feeling stays to the close of the markets.
    May the force be with us.

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  13. #1327

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Hey James, I love S. Germany/ Alps that time of year! So nice of you to invite us - you must be doing very well w/investments to offer to cover all our costs for that . If that's the deal then I'll take you up on it! Otherwise guess I'll hang around home & continue with my major sweat-equity projects, maybe go from W. WA to SoCal to visit family for Thanksgiving, prepare for all them to visit us for Christmas, and save up for possible trip to Hungary in May'24 for son's wedding (& make a 2-3 week touring vacation out of it). Have some Glühwein, Wurst, Feuerzangenbowle, and lebkuchen for me!!

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  15. #1328

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Hmmm.

    Nice couple of weeks, and then a fall yesterday, followed by a rebound today.

    I’m thinking that after Christmas, we are likely to have a little consolidation, while the market tries to decide how it likes 6% interest rates.

    I’m thinking a good time to move some into “G” and give stocks a rest. We shall see. Good luck.


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  17. #1329

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Well, a one-week trip to Florida in January turned into two full weeks because I finally caught Covid (on the plane, I’m sure). It wasn’t bad (I had FOUR Pfizer shots prior to catching a Covid) but I couldn’t fly and had to spend an extra week in solitary in a Florida hotel, waiting to become non-contagious again.

    Back to work this week.

    The darn Punxsutawney Phil didn’t see his shadow today, so I guess that means SPRING is just around the corner.

    Hope that means the market will strengthen now. Good jobs report this morning- means our economy isn’t slacking at all- so I’m thinking we won’t get a rate cut at all until July or August, if that. I think the Fed ought to twerk another 1/4 point higher before they even think of a cut.

    My prediction: zero rate cut, maybe even a 1/4 point higher in the next two months.

    We shall see.

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  19. #1330

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    My prediction: zero rate cut, maybe even a 1/4 point higher in the next two months.
    Even though I'm in the process of building what is hopefully my last home, i don't disagree with that.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  21. #1331

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    Default Re: James48843 Account Talk

    We have a LOT of sunshine in Michigan today- and a high today of 50’s’F. That means SPRING is near. Sun= warmth!

    So I’m optimistic now.

    Moving to:

    C= 30%
    S= 60%
    I = 10%

    And ready to ride the roller coaster of love.

    Yeeeeehaw!

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  23. #1332

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    Default James48843 Account Talk

    You know what? I have been deficient in watching my charts closely lately.

    I’m very much a believer in the Point and Figure (P & F) charts available on Stockchart.com

    Today I looked at the P&F charts for the S&P 500, the DWCF, and my GE and Apple stock .

    It’s a bit shocking when I look at it. I’m thinking that this market needs to take a break- and it could be a significant break, and soon.

    I’m thinking down 3-5% is due any time now, maybe more.

    Nothing is wrong- it’s just too much up, for too long. A break /breather is due.


    IMG_1436.JPG

    Take a look at that chart, and tell me that you think it will keep going higher..

    Maybe a little longer, but not much. 2 weeks? 4? Sell in May and go away is not far off.

    I’m thinking I will shift out of stocks and into “G” in a matter of a week or two. I don’t know what the trigger will be- but we are due for a breather sooner rather than later.

    I’m staying in right now, but my radar is raising its antenna to be more sensitive and watching closer.

    Good luckJames48843 Account Talk


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