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Thread: Birchtree's Account Talk

  1. #14653

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    To answer your question - I wish I knew. Once the trade gets even more crowded then I'll flip from 20C/80I to 80C/20I. But for now I'm satisfied to watch the yen and the euro race for export business which is why I got into the I fund initially. Hey, it's good to hear from you - you're no longer a novice.

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  3. #14654

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    you're no longer a novice.
    Oh my goodness! If you only knew! I just think luck is on my side. And of course, the BT motivational speeches help out as well.

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  5. #14655

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I believe we now have a five year high on the SPX. My oceanic did fine for the first three trading days of January: +$121K, +$16K, +$52K for a sweet gain of +$189K. The month could continue with the rush of hooves. I think it may be a propitious time to buy some (RRTS) Road Runner Transportation Services and see where it goes.

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  7. #14656

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    If you can't be persuaded to invest in stocks during a period of continued zero interest rates, continued low inflation, record corporate profits, pristine balance sheets, and cheap valuations, then simply sit at the train station. We are experiencing one of the most disrespected bull markets in history and it certainly stinks to most - but for me as a renegade contrarian I appreciate the sweet smell of superlative bull manure as it wafts over this board.
    This board just wouldn't be the same without you BT. I hope your NY Resolution is to not get banned as often this year.
    100% G Fund COB 13 March 2020

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  9. #14657

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    "To summarize, the ten-year trading range of the S&P 500 index suggests that a major price top should be arriving sometime in the first half of 2013."

    Four-Year Cycle Low Will Be Late | Carl Swenlin | FINANCIAL SENSE

    Technician Charles Nenner: Stock market cycle up into February; short term buy signal.

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  11. #14658

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Jimmy Little Cricketts can you imagine: "The weekly MACD for the S&P 500 is on the verge of giving a buy signal since last summer and if it occurs it likely means we will be treated to a multi-week to multi-month rally in stocks ahead." 1474 will fall with a throw over and the intermediate bull run will ramp up with gusto. Like they say at Ruby Tuesday - it's all good here.

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  13. #14659

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Birchtree View Post
    Jimmy Little Cricketts can you imagine: "The weekly MACD for the S&P 500 is on the verge of giving a buy signal since last summer and if it occurs it likely means we will be treated to a multi-week to multi-month rally in stocks ahead." 1474 will fall with a throw over and the intermediate bull run will ramp up with gusto. Like they say at Ruby Tuesday - it's all good here.
    Problem is each MACD wave is smaller than the previous...momentum is waning

    Attachment 21787
    Retired, 10G/90C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

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  15. #14660

    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    Problem is each MACD wave is smaller than the previous...momentum is waning

    Attachment 21787
    i don't get the candlestick one, just noise. but the wave one on the bottom reminds me of skipping stones, and it's already bounced four times. i know where that leads.
    100g

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  17. #14661

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by burrocrat View Post
    i don't get the candlestick one, just noise. but the wave one on the bottom reminds me of skipping stones, and it's already bounced four times. i know where that leads.
    Thanks, I think the MACD skipping stones over water is a great analogy of "losing momentum."
    Retired, 10G/90C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats


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  19. #14662

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I recall that you use Merrill Lynch for your oceanic account. Do you use other brokers or just Merrill?

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  21. #14663

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    I only use the Merrill Edge which ties up with Bank America checking - it's very efficient. I'm also on margin with them and my interest rate cost is 2.75% and it's deductable to offset my dividend income. Because of my balance I don't pay any commissions on the first 30 trades per month - after that it's $4.95 a trade.

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  23. #14664

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    Default Re: Birchtree's Account Talk

    ALOT of hate on the banks today BT, how ya feeling on these? Time to buy or time to wait?
    THIS IS WHERE I WOULD PUT SOMETHING TO REPRESENT MY THINKING, BUT THEN THEY SHOW UP!
    Tracker =
    Check my position

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