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TSP Talk Blog

This and that about the market, the TSP, maybe some politics, and life.

  1. TSP Talk - Will small caps ever catch up to the C-fund?

    It was quite a week for the stocks market last week with mixed inflation data and the Fed not as dovish as investors had hoped, and we saw big gains and pullbacks and wide divergences between the indices. On Friday stocks battled back from early selling to closed mixed, but the ongoing issue with the market is big tech's leadership camouflaging the weakness in some of the broader indices. Bonds were up again as yields continue to slide.

  2. TSP Talk - Big tech or bust

    Stocks opened higher on Thursday after another favorable PPI report - favorable as far as being less inflationary than expected, and a cool weekly jobless claims report helped as well. The initial reaction in the futures was a strong move higher but by the time the market opened the rally lost its steam, and that weakness continued until about lunchtime when we did see some dip buying. Small caps and the I-fund lagged badly again, and bonds rallied on a pullback in yields.

  3. TSP Talk - The CPI and Fed help trigger a rally

    Stocks jumped out of the gate this morning when the CPI report came in cooler than expected, lifting hopes that the fed will be cutting interest rates sooner rather than later, but a funny thing happened on the way to the Fed meeting - they actually sounded more hawkish than expected. There was a lot of volatility, as expected, but in the end stocks mostly held onto the big gains, although the Dow was down slightly. Bond yields and the dollar fell on the cool report and that helped bonds, small ...
  4. TSP Talk - Apple steals the show - CPI and Fed next

    Stocks opened sharply lower on Tuesday as it appeared there were some nerves in front of today's Fed decision on interest rates, and the CPI report, plus European stocks were down sharply overnight. But as has been the case repeatedly, what we see at the open has not been what we saw at the close as stocks rallied back and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both closed at new highs, thanks to Apple. But what about the rest of the market, because the S and I-funds were down again?

  5. TSP Talk - The morning dip gets bought while waiting for CPI

    Stocks battled back from a Monday morning gap down to close with moderate gains. That's pretty impressive given the uncertainty of this week's economic calendar. Surprisingly, the number of stocks up on the day was about the same as the number of stocks down, but when big tech is leading, that's what happens. Yields and the dollar were up, so stocks were actually swimming against the current making the rally that much more impressive.

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