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  1. Replies
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    Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Not sure what's going on either, it's like the markets knew they were gonna finish the month in red, so they just gave up. There were some big hits in the weighted Top-10 yesterday, so maybe it's a...
  2. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
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    1,222,889

    Wednesday

    Good morning

    Long-term investors who perhaps only want to do 2 trades a year, may want to consider a Sell In May & Go Away strategy. At face value, (without indicators) the best 6 months are in...
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    Re: Celebrity RIP Garden

    Sorry to hear for your loss, 16 years is a gut punch. I've had a few days to process (I didn't get back home from the states in time) and it's been difficult because my SO had to do the hard work of...
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    Fred

    In December 2021 a scrawny near dead senior weighing a shallow 15 pounds, walked into the shelter and thus began his long recovery to restoration.

    60760

    In April 2022 I walked into the shelter...
  5. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
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    1,222,889

    Tuesday

    Good morning

    From 1961-2023 the average Monthly intra-low for the month of April was -2.63%. In 2024 terms this level is SPX 5116 (which is where we closed on Monday).

    So today, we need 2.63%...
  6. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
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    1,222,889

    Re: Wednesday

    So I'm gonna need some assist on this. Are looking for a clear buy/sell signal based on the consolidation of this data? Or are you thinking the data provided is too disjointed to make an accurate...
  7. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
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    1,222,889

    Re: Monday

    Thank you, I did here it somewhere on a CNBC podcast and had just remembered this morning to check the stats for myself. I certainly wouldn't have thought last week was impressive, but then again I'm...
  8. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
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    1,222,889

    Monday

    Good morning

    Although it may not feel like it, last week’s 2.67% gain was the best of the past 25 weeks.

    For the short-term across 11 sessions each, sellers are in control with the last 7 of 11...
  9. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
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    1,222,889

    Sunday

    Good Evening

    On the 27-day timeframe our CSI win ratios are below average.

    60744

    On the 1-27 day performance scale, we are starting to see some green in the shorter timeframes.
    ...
  10. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
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    1,222,889

    Wednesday

    Good morning

    Tomorrow I'll head back to Europe, so please don't break the markets while I'm gone :D

    The Fibonacci range from the 5-Jan-2024 low shows we’ve retraced half of this year’s gains....
  11. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
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    1,222,889

    Re: Thursday 2 of 3

    Good morning

    Our 27-Day win ratio is 37% this is the lowest reading since 7-Sep-2023
    Upside gaps are unreliable, the last 4 gaps up closed the session down.
    Monday Stinks, last 9 of 11 down.
    ...
  12. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
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    1,222,889

    Re: Thursday 2 of 3

    Good Morning

    On the 27-day timeframe we have some fairly low win ratios, and only the G-Fund has a gain on the 11/27 day timeframes.

    60704
    On the 1 to 27 day performance scale, it’s a strong...
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    Re: Guess Who This Is...

    I remember she was very cute, but also somewhat short at 5'3"
  14. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
    Views
    1,222,889

    Monday

    Good morning (post 2)

    You may notice on the left side of the chart, I've annotated the previous 3 months of lows, this month we've pierced the 5-March low, and soon we may fill the most obvious...
  15. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
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    1,222,889

    Friday

    Good morning

    16 sessions off the peak, we've pulled back just over -5%, here's the 30-minute view.

    60681
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    Re: nasa1974's Account Talk

    Twas the COVID Lows

    24-28 Feb of 2020 losing -12.00% over 5 days, with the 6th day gaining 4.60%

    But this was part of a 7-day losing streak beginning the prior Thursday, with a 7-day 13.43%...
  17. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
    Views
    1,222,889

    Thursday

    Good morning

    Looking at the 63-year YTD statistical range, this Wednesday we closed 5.31% YTD. By this perspective, we are still above the 63-year average YTD for April (the yellow line).

    March...
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    Re: Whipsaw's Account Talk

    Maybe we'll get some nice volume on Friday's Options Ex. to put a stamp on this pullback.
  19. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
    Views
    1,222,889

    Wednesday

    Good morning

    25 Weeks off the Oct-2023 bottom shows the Linear Regression Channel has pierced Standard Deviation 3. Although I have no way of proving this, the longer the data/time used, the more...
  20. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
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    1,222,889

    Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Well, it if get worse, then I'll have 10% to add in next month. :D
  21. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
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    1,222,889

    Re: Sunday

    IFT EoB Today

    From 50G/50C to 10G/90C

    Bring on the pain....

    60665
  22. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
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    1,222,889

    Re: JTH's Account Talk

    Post 2

    Our Closing price over the 50-SMA win streak has eneded at 110 sessions, the 3rd best since 2003.

    60659
  23. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
    Views
    1,222,889

    Re: Thursday 2 of 3

    Good morning

    For stats, I typically try to post closing data, but I've been traveling, so I'm a bit late.

    Here's our current April MTD stats withing a 63-Year April historical range.
    ......
  24. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
    Views
    1,222,889

    Monday

    Good morning

    Looking at the last 11 of each:

    The Last 8 of 11 Gaps down closed the day down.
    The Last 8 of 11 Mondays have closed down.
    The last 9 of 11 Thursdays have closed up.

    60648
  25. Thread: JTH's Account Talk

    by JTH
    Replies
    9,603
    Views
    1,222,889

    Sunday

    Good Morning


    Last week was a rough patch, while the C-Fund has the lowest win ratio, it’s also given up to smallest losses amongst the CSI funds.

    60642


    From the 1-27 day performance...
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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)

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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)

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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)

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BND (F Fund) (delayed)

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Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes