
Today's Commentary
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Rising wedge
Stocks moved higher yesterday, but the indices had to overcome a very
weak open as dip buyers showed up again. The Dow added 10-points on
the day, but the broader market faired a little better.
For the TSP, the C-fund gained 0.40% yesterday, the S-fund made 0.54%,
and the late U.S. rally could not push the I-fund into positive territory as
it it slipped 0.17% on the day. The F-fund (bonds) lost 0.07%.
I am going to leave yesterday's commentary below since yesterday's action
does not change the situation at all.
The upcoming earnings season and the potential for
QE 2 are still what investors are looking toward, and the lack of much of
anything yesterday gave us a mostly flat to slightly higher day. The
Fed minutes did help give the dip buyers a reason to buy.
The only development that I have noticed is this new rising wedge on the
chart of the S&P 500. It is nearly at the apex already so we will
either have some very tight trading ranges over the next couple of days, or
we will get a breakout / breakdown. Rising wedges tend to break
downward, but in the is bullish environment, I am not willing to bet too
much on that.

Chart provided courtesy of
www.decisionpoint.com, analysis by TSP
Talk
We do have a
few more important economic reports coming out this week, and some larger
name companies will be reporting earnings, so we may actually get some
action this week.
Thanks for reading! We'll see you back here tomorrow.
Tom Crowley
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