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Market Comments

July 2, 2009

 
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Today's Comments (Short Term Outlook)                            Printer  friendly

Jobs report

Stocks continue to bounce around during this light volume, holiday shortened week, that happens to also include a bevy of economic data / reports. 

This morning we get the jobs report, probably one of the most anticipated reports of the month.  Once again the light volume could produce a wild day in one direction or the other, or both.

As you can see below, the wild swings have not really done much to change things.  After a rebound off of the 50-day EMA last week, the S&P 500 has traded in a range of about 910 to 930, with a slightly positive uptrend during the strong seasonal period of late June / early July.


                  Chart provided courtesy of www.decisionpoint.com, analysis by TSP Talk

The TSP Talk Sentiment Survey came in at 40% bulls, 43% bears, for a 0.93 to 1 bulls to bears ratio.  Although nearing the 1.0 to 1 sell signal ratio, the 0.93 to 1 still just a neutral reading, but the system remains in the G fund waiting for a buy signal below 0.50 to 1.

Estimates for the June jobs report are for a loss of 365K jobs.  We will also be looking for any revisions to the May report which initially came in at -345K.  The unemployment rate is expected to come in at 9.6%; a couple of notches above the 9.4% we saw in May.

That's all for today.  Thanks for reading.  Have a great holiday weekend!
 

Today is the 2nd trading day in July:
                                  Chart provided courtesy of www.sentimentrader.com

Market Commentary Archive                     
July 1, 2009

June 30, 2009
June 29, 2009
June 26, 2009
June 25, 2009
June 24, 2009
June 23, 2009
June 22, 2009
June 19, 2009
June 18, 2009
June 17, 2009
June 16, 2009
June 15, 2009
June 12, 2009
June 11, 2009
June 10, 2009
June 9, 2009
June 8, 2009
June 5, 2009
June 4, 2009
June 3, 2009
June 2, 2009
June 1, 2009
June 2009
May 2009
April 2009
March 2009
February 2009
January 2009
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July 2008


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S&P 500 (C fund))
[Chart]
1d  5d  3m  6m  1y  2y
Wilshire 4500 (S fund)
[Chart]
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EFA (I fund)
[Chart]
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Bonds (F fund)
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