Market Debrief
Stock Market Commentary and Investor's Blog

Market Debrief

Background information:

The current Market Debrief TSP allocation: 
  • 50% Small Caps (Wilshire 4500)
  • 50% Internationals (EAFE)

Archive of the author's market comments

Market Debrief seeks to optimize the investor’s risk/reward profile by viewing the markets with a risk management perspective.  Risk analysis is accomplished by using indicators of supply and demand.  These indicators determine the extent of stock market participation; scaling into markets controlled by demand, and easing out of markets driven by supply.  Market Debrief is a trend follower, not a day trader.  This game plan is neither aggressive nor conservative, but is a deliberate approach to managing serious money for consistent returns in all types of markets. 

The primary instruments are:

  • Point and Figure Bullish Percents
  • Market breadth trends

These primary indicators will clearly and consistently show whether supply or demand is controlling prices.  If demand is driving the market, then prices will increase.  When supply overpowers demand, then prices must fall.   

The status of these primary indicators determines the extent - but not the timing - of stock market involvement.

Secondary indicators include:

  • Volatility indices
  • Moving averages
  • Exchange rate trends
  • Fibonacci patterns
These secondary indicators are useful to validate trend information from the primary instruments.  Market Debrief will identify specific levels of price support/resistance, then proactively execute contingency gameplans based on concrete signals.


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