Market Comments

April 11, 2008


TSP Fund share prices as of: 04/10/08
Fund - G Fund F Fund C Fund S Fund I Fund
12.40 12.20 15.44 18.52 23.06
$  Change - +0.00 -0.04 +0.07 +0.18 -0.16
% Chg day - +0.00% -0.33% +0.46% +0.98% -0.69%
% Chg 2008 - +0.98% +2.26% -6.76% -6.42% -6.87%
  L2040 L2030 L2020 L2010 L Income
17.30 16.65 16.07 15.22 13.42
$  Change - +0.03 +0.02 +0.02 +0.01 +0.00
% Chg day - +0.17% +0.12% +0.12% +0.07% +0.00%
% Chg 2008 - -5.15% -4.37% -3.48% -1.55% -0.37%

Today's Comments (Short Term Outlook)                             Printer friendly
Muddled

Stocks sold off Thursday morning, rallied strongly in the early afternoon, and gave back a good portion of the gains by the close.  It appears investors and traders are as uncertain as I am.

The market is not giving us much to go on at the moment.  The S&P 500 is finding support at the 20 and 50-day exponential moving averages, but below resistance.  Many are calling for a bottom, while others say the technical picture points to more downside.


                                     Chart provided courtesy of www.decisionpoint.com

The overbought/oversold indicator is very close to neutral, giving us no edge as to which direction to favor. 


                                    Chart provided courtesy of www.decisionpoint.com

The sentiment surveys are mixed although the TSP Talk survey came in overly bearish again, 38% bulls, 48% bears.  That's nothing new for 2008.

  I am looking forward to a couple of days off from the market.  Next week is options expiration week and a wave of first quarter earnings reports will start coming out.  I am more curious about what will happen than anything else.  I really can't even speculate.  I plan to react rather than anticipate.  It's Friday, it's been a long week, and I am drained.

Thanks for reading.  Have a great weekend!


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