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Special Notice for April 10: Because some of the stock and bond
markets will be closed Friday, April 10, we will not be updating
share prices in any of the TSP funds for that day. Consequently,
transactions will not be processed until the following business day
(that is Monday, April 13).
Hanging on
Stocks
rode a rollercoaster yesterday, dancing above and below the break-even level
several times before a late rally brought the Dow back into positive
territory.

The action was actually quite dull but the late rally gave the S&P 500 a
gain of over 1% by the close. Small caps did even better, although
both only made about half of what they lost on Tuesday.
The trend remains down but the market is hanging on. This slow decline
off of the recent highs looks primed for a big move one way or the other,
but with today being the day before a market holiday, and next week being
laden with earnings reports, who knows what will happen. I suspect
volume will be very light.

Chart
provided courtesy of
www.decisionpoint.com,
analysis by TSP Talk
The latest Investors Intelligence Advisor Sentiment survey moved up toward
the 1 to 1 bulls to bears ratio. We have found that when this ratio
gets to 1 to 1 or higher in bear market, it can be a sign of over
bullishness and the market has some trouble moving higher.

Chart
provided courtesy of
www.decisionpoint.com,
analysis by TSP Talk
Our TSP Talk Sentiment Survey, which we posted a day early because of the
holiday Friday, was taken a few days after the one above, and because of the
recent market weakness, came in a little more bearish. The bulls (35%)
to bears (47%) ratio was 0.74 to 1, which is neutral and keeps the system on
a sell signal for next week.
That's all I have for today.
Thanks for reading. Depending on what happens today, I may or not
update the market commentary for Friday since the market will be closed.
If that's the case, enjoy your Easter weekend and I'll see you back here on
Monday.
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