The market started
on shaky ground, traded lower throughout, and despite a small up
tick in the final minutes, ended poorly. All sectors ended the day
in the red with recent leader Gold bearing the brunt of the selling
with select technology and the general small caps not far behind.
Hit especially hard were the higher momentum stocks, which saw bids
disappear in addition to panicky selling creating many long red bars
and carnage throughout. Especially challenging was breadth, which
finished over 3 to 1 negative in both the NYSE and NASDAQ, coupled
with higher volume. It was a clear day of technical distribution
which is a negative but the market has the ability to handle a few
before we really have to worry.
Running through the list comprising today's action there is not much
that can be viewed as a potential positive. Bears will take these
various factors and make the case that the end of the world is upon
us and the markets are doomed. Ironically, it is during the darkest
hours when Mr. Market tends to show up with a very strong flash
light.
Despite the carnage, the S&P held the 50 day moving average while
the NASDAQ held critical support. The Semiconductor holders finished
lower on the day but still clings within striking range of the 200
day, in addition to short term trendline support started in mid
March.
At least at this point we remain optimistic. While the selling is
extreme, we had been looking for a draw to replace the giddy
optimism with pessimism and there is
no question this has happened. The wall or worry has definitely been
rebuilt very quickly. Now the only question remains is do we start
to scale, or are there still a few more bricks that need to be put
in place.
We suspect volume may dry up Wednesday and Thursday as many take off
for Passover with Friday being a market holiday. Rest up as the
action will definitely remain choppy.
Have a good evening.
RevShark