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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4849

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    You would have thought the weaker than expected jobs report (199K vs. 440K est.) would ease yields, but they are up initially again this morning. The unemployment rate dropped more than expected to 3.9%, and wages were up more than expected as well. Sounds positive but that may be a concern and considered inflationary.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #4850

    Join Date
    Aug 2011
    Location
    Mississippi
    Posts
    904

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The positivity helps to build bullish momentum, should there be any.


    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  5. #4851

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    There has also been a report about a new variant...IHU. First case found in California within last day or two. IHU was First identified in France in November with mild respiratory symptoms and total of 12. No serious complications have been reported and it us being downplayed by WHO.

    Also, something called Flurona in LA. There are talks about moving Superbowl out of LA.

    No idea if these variants are affecting market.

    I did hear report this morning that 10-year Treasury rate has moved up to 1.78. Now that would move market.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410


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  7. #4852

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    oh... Just heard "flurona" is a mix of flu and Corona Wuhan virus...hummm...
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  9. #4853

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I heard those are good with a lime.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  11. #4854

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yields are making their move again this morning. I'm surprised this rally took so long. The dollar is also up, but its already lost about half of its morning gains.




    Stocks are getting smacked as the S&P (C-fund) is looking for support at the bottom of that channel.



    And small caps made a lower low in perhaps a run at the stops below the prior lows.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  13. #4855

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Monday's big rally off the lows is being digested this morning. Modest to moderate losses are pushing the S&P and small caps index back below some key moving averages while Fed chair Powell testifies in congress.



    Yields are up, and the dollar is down and continues to trade in a tight range above support.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  15. #4856

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Stocks move higher in the early action. The S&P and small caps are up about 0.6%, while the I-fund, thanks to another decline in the dollar is leading and up closer to 0.8%.




    The 10-year yield is down again, but te 1.7% area could try to hold as support after filling in that small open gap.



    The dollar has finally broken down. With inflation being such an issue, this seems like it has been a long time coming, but the Fed's measures had kept it buoyant for a while.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  17. #4857

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    An opening rally started to fade, which isn't too unusual to start a day, but right now the C and S funds are testing some pretty important support.




    The dollar is down again after the PPI report, although so far today we aren't seeing commodity prices moving up like we have been.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  19. #4858

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The old resistance line seems to be holding as support so far on the 10-year Treasury yield, making stocks a little cranky again.




    Small caps are lagging again as the DWCPF (S-fund) flirts with a test of the prior low.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  21. #4859

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yields are popping higher to start the new week an that is putting pressure on stocks and bonds. The dollar is also rising this morning, but it is testing the 50-day EMA, which could now act as resistance after holding as support during its rally.




    The S&P is testing a moving average that has been holding in recent months.



    Small caps are trying to hold on to the recent lows.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  23. #4860

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yields and the dollar are down helping prices this morning. The dollar is back below that 50-day EMA after the two day rally.




    Stocks are good with the drop in both of those above, but the character of the market has changed such that rallies are being sold quickly. They won't go straight down however, so we should see some rallied here and there. The S&P 500 is trying to get back above that short-term support line.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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