Page 398 of 491 FirstFirst ... 298348388396397398399400408448 ... LastLast
Results 4,765 to 4,776 of 5887

Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4765

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yields and the dollar are up. The 10-year filled a gap and backed off.



    The dollar is at resistance after jumping this morning.

    Stocks are down but so far the selling is contained despite the Apple and Amazon earnings issues.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  2.  
  3. #4766

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Wow, big move in the dollar. Is it just trying to fill that open gap, or are we looking at new highs coming? Not exactly inflationary action.
    The I-fund should get smacked today.




    And look at gold and silver breaking down.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #4767

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Today felt like a lot of end of the month noise because the gains didn't make a whole lot of sense with Apple and Amazon getting hit, and the NYSE share volume was about 2 to 1 in favor of declining volume over advancing, yet all the indices were solidly green - although the Russell was down less than a point.

    The first trading day of the month can also be "noisy" and I suspect next week could be a big week for stocks - although I claim ignorance on the direction of that move. The FOMC meeting is Tuesday and Wednesday and seasonality is on the bulls' side, but new month, new direction is also a possibility. However, sometimes that change in direction doesn't start on the first, but rather on the 2nd or 3rd.

    Clear as mud? We'll see.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #4768

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yields up a bit this morning, while the dollar is dipping, Small caps are ripping, while the S&P is slipping off the morning highs.

    First trading day in November may turn out to be a smoke screen but the divergence in the indices makes it questionable about what is really happening.

    Smalls caps are near recent 2021 resistance again, which has failed repeatedly, but November / December have been good for small caps over the years, and this could be the breakout month? Either that or it's about to rollover again, so place your bets.

    A pullback to 4550 would be healthy for the S&P, but anything lower could mean a short-term peak is in.

    Russell 2000

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #4769

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Early action has the dollar up and yields down. Small caps are lagging a bit after Monday's huge day.

    The 10-year may have started to break down from that small bear flag.




    The Transports are on fire. 5 months of losses have been recovered in one. Very unusual action.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #4770

    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    Rocky Mountain High
    Posts
    6,960

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Dow transports up over 12% on the day? What is happening?!
    Weatherweenie's Account Talk
    Teddy Roosevelt: Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official. Retired on November 30, 2023 with 30+ years of service.


  12.  
  13. #4771

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    pop and drop? blow off top?

  14.  
  15. #4772

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Crazy. "Only" 6% now.

    The close will be huge. As retread says, could be a big blow off top -- unless it can manage to close back near the highs.

    Avis seems to be the catalyst, up 100% today.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #4773

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Early action has bonds moving lower / 10-year yield is up. The dollar is up again slightly, but the big bull flag on UUP is interesting and suggests the Fed's action could produce an upside breakout, which would make sense if they start tapering and talk rate hikes.




    The Transports are down 2% after yesterday rally of nearly 7%.

    Small caps are doing very well again, but up again more resistance. This has breakout written all over it but perhaps some consolidation may be needed at some point here at the resistance line?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  18.  
  19. #4774

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The dollar is breaking above that bull flag. I didn't know why a bull flag was forming, but there it is, breaking out, and the Fed's apathy toward raising rates may be the reason.



    Same for the 10-year. Yields are falling, something that generally happens when the economy is weakening, but again, the Fed not talking raising rates is telling bond investors that they can be bought (bonds) and yields look to be on the verge of breaking below H&S pattern.


    Not sure what's happening with the High Yield Corporate Bonds today, but I believe this is dividend related because the a similar move happened last year at this time.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #4775

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    There it is. The bond market was trying to tell us this was going to happen.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #4776

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Early action - the dollar appears to be breaking down from its bull flag breakout.




    The 10-year yield is up, bouncing off the 100-day EMA, but leaving the 1.4% gap below still open.




    Stocks are up but continue to look overly extended.




    High Yield Corp bonds are pulling back after hitting a double top. That was quite a run over the last 5 days.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  24.  
Page 398 of 491 FirstFirst ... 298348388396397398399400408448 ... LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes