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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4441

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The dollar is popping this morning - right over the 50-day EMA, but that looks like a head and shoulders pattern potentially forming, which would tend to eventually break down below that neckline.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  2.  
  3. #4442

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The small caps, Russell 2000 and S-fund's DWCPF, are both flirting with their 20-day EMAs. Those have been holding for the most part since this latest rip near the election started. We'll see if it's "different this time."

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #4443

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The head and shoulders on the dollar chart is looking quite clean. Wednesday's gap was filled this morning, and I suspect a move down to 24.35 is next. Commodities are probably the place to be, especially if the neckline breaks down..

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #4444

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Dollar breaking below the H&S...




    Transports making new highs...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #4445

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yield on 10-year is up and at new highs, yet...




    Small caps are racing higher too. So much for the growth concern.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #4446

    Join Date
    May 2011
    Location
    Florida
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The small caps, Russell 2000 and S-fund's DWCPF, are both flirting with their 20-day EMAs. Those have been holding for the most part since this latest rip near the election started. We'll see if it's "different this time."

    Boingy boingy on the pogo stick. Nice find.


  12.  
  13. #4447

    Join Date
    Mar 2006
    Location
    Raleigh, NC
    Posts
    3,416

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It feels totally like institutional 'investing' and/or hedge fund 'investing'. Totally.

    There are likely others on this site who can sleuth that activity out. But, that is a very large amount of buy pressure. If it is retirement funds than all is fine, if it is hedge funds you want to get out. They can move the market quickly.
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

  14.  
  15. #4448

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Interesting... on a day with stocks down almost across the board, the Transports are up 0.87% and making new highs.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #4449

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The S-fund (dwcpf) is not keeping pace with the Russell 2000 today. Big divergence.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  18.  
  19. #4450

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Posts
    14,685
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    13

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    There's your sign.
    The big boys are breaking.

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  21. #4451

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Bit more simpatico this morning..

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The S-fund (dwcpf) is not keeping pace with the Russell 2000 today. Big divergence.


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  23. #4452

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Big spike in the VIX this morning. The question is whether it can close above or below that 200-daty EMA.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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