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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4345

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The beginning of loosing embedment. This can easily make a run for the 18 day moving average on a pullback. The C fund is primed to run

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  3. #4346

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The disappointing jobs report seems to be just what the market wanted. Or an OK one. Or a good one. Apparently it didn't matter. Buy, buy, buy. What could go wrong?

    6.7% unemployment rate is quite impressive under these circumstances. I'm not sure how that is possible or sustainable if California, as well as other areas, are getting ready to shut down.

    https://www.tsptalk.com/mb/blogs/tsp...-november.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #4347

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The S-fund broke that channel as we mentioned below, but now it is back testing the old support line - possible resistance, but still rising resistance.




    Monday is the 7th so if there's going to be a pullback, the bears have some history on their side starting on the 8th. They just haven't wanted to step in front of this momentum yet.


    Chart provided courtesy of www.sentimentrader.com


    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Not a deal breaker since this steep angle of incline was bound to end eventually, but this break below support in the S-fund is a yellow flag for the short-term...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  7. #4348

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Vaccines have cured COVID. There is no more risk of a massive selloff as far as markets are concerned, but it won't be up every day in December.

    Watching TLT for that 152 level to signal a turn.

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  9. #4349

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    RE: Gaps,

    They do seem more like a daily occurrence in markets in the past few years. Every day it's, "which way we gapping this morning?"

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  11. #4350

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    By the way, another 210K new cases of COVID were recorded yesterday. That's the first day with over 200K.

    It could just be a bunch of asymptomatic folks getting tested, I don't know, but the stock market doesn't seemed concerned.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  13. #4351

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    By the way, another 210K new cases of COVID were recorded yesterday. That's the first day with over 200K.

    It could just be a bunch of asymptomatic folks getting tested, I don't know, but the stock market doesn't seemed concerned.
    I think that is because the market cares more about potential lockdowns than the actual COVID virus, and with all the positive vaccine news coming out day after day, it seems like we are distancing ourselves more and more from the possibility of another lockdown.

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  15. #4352

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by bmneveu View Post
    I think that is because the market cares more about potential lockdowns than the actual COVID virus, and with all the positive vaccine news coming out day after day, it seems like we are distancing ourselves more and more from the possibility of another lockdown.
    Except in California and New York. They seem to be doubling down on the lockdown thing.
    God bless the United States of America!

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  17. #4353

    Default tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by bmneveu View Post
    I think that is because the market cares more about potential lockdowns than the actual COVID virus, and with all the positive vaccine news coming out day after day, it seems like we are distancing ourselves more and more from the possibility of another lockdown.
    Well be locked down to March or so. Vaccines are fairytales at this point if you are buying the nonsense. Data is a joke on them as well.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Last edited by cmil1212; 12-04-2020 at 01:55 PM.

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  19. #4354

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    No fairytales and no jokes. Just good old science and medicine coming to the rescue.

    Unfortunately, this is still going to take a year to get enough people vaccinated to quash this bug- and remember- there can be other bugs in our future just as well. God sometimes levels the earth just because it’s time to level the earth.

    Let’s just all hope we can survive a bit longer.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

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  21. #4355

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    A nice bounce off the morning lows, but possibly a breakdown in support that these will have to try to recapture...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  23. #4356

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Tom ever get the feeling lately that we are starting back down the path of the .com era. Back them I remember you could close your eyes and throw a dart at a stock dart board and come up a winner. I remember noticing that any company that had the word Technology in its name would move. I tried that theory on a penny stock where the company was just a shell. It hadn't made money is years and the share were 1 cent. I bought 5000 shares before work and within 40 min that stock caught wind and was sitting at 64 cents when I arrived. Seems we maybe entering that phase again in some ways. Hopefully not but when read articles about billion dollar IPOs I wonder.

    I just read that Airbnb is now larger that all the hotel stocks https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/11/airb...kes-sense.html. Doordash had its IPO and is now worth more that 60 Billion after its IPO. https://www.marketwatch.com/story/do...ut-11607536338

    Here's a few more Billion dollar IPOs that came out recently and that is illion with a "B". Snowflake, Royalty Pharma, Unity Software. 2021 is lining up with even more.

    Maybe it's different this time (to coin the phrase that seems to make things "OK") but I am starting to wonder. Oh and just for you old timers here's a walk down memory lane https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zhnEjxsjjuA Remember that? We don't hear from that company anymore because Pets.com which sole focus was to sell pet supplies online to customers (Hmmm sounds like Chewy which made 1 billion in its IPO last year). Pet.com only lasted from Nov 1998 to 2000. Any way just something to think about


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