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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3973

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Edited since I can't delete in the interest of not being too political, thought better of it after I posted....
    Last edited by tom4jean; 03-13-2020 at 10:54 AM.
    Expected FERS Retirement; December 2028
    Thru-hike the Appalachian trail spring 2029

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  3. #3974

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Oh well couldn’t be any worse than other night. I suppose he’ll announce whatever bipartisan plan they worked out.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

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  5. #3975

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    Wouldn't it be smarter to wait until the market closes?
    I don't know. I think it would be a very long, uncomfortable weekend waiting for the reaction on Monday.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  7. #3976

    Join Date
    Mar 2017
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    I don't know. I think it would be a very long, uncomfortable weekend waiting for the reaction on Monday.
    Looks like the market liked what they saw from Trump's press conference. I got myself a new Cadillac!
    I'm not going to think about my new Ford Pickup and Lexus RX that rolled off the cliff!
    34 years complete, 4 years to go!

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  9. #3977

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The I-fund price should be interesting. Did anyone make an IFT to the I-fund today - for Monday. That could pay off big if the TSP doesn't give enough fair value adjustment today.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  11. #3978

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Some things guaranteed to come next: corporate defaults, bankruptcies and dividend cuts. Think BA, HAL, CCL, RIG, any random airline stock that will go bankrupt. Even DIS stock cratering and they haven't closed yet because they can't afford to.
    When do these numbers rollout?


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  13. #3979

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The I-fund price should be interesting. Did anyone make an IFT to the I-fund today - for Monday. That could pay off big if the TSP doesn't give enough fair value adjustment today.
    Hi Tom! I see that several people did enter I fund, but I wondered why??? Although the dollar was up Friday nearly 4%, I understand this would make an I fund buy-in a bargain--right? Hopefully I am thinking correctly on that.

    But even so, if Corona virus is invading all of Europe, I am thinking a buy-in to I fund is a high risk (around 60% is based on stocks in Europe). Then to get out of I fund, would need to wait to move back to US dollars when the dollar is weaker and who knows what happens in next couple weeks. Do you think there would be money to be made with a quick 1-2 day buy-in to I Fund??? Just wondering... cuz I was scratching my head when I saw those entries....I guess I need to read up on fair value as I am not sure I really understand.... if anyone has ideas on the reasoning for entering, please share!
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  15. #3980

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Hi DBA. I'm not recommending the I-fund at all - or not recommending it. I was thinking along the lines of the TSP and how they have to put a price on it on day where the overseas markets were long closed for the day, and the U.S. market rallied 1500 points in the final 20 minutes of trading on Friday.

    Why people did move into the I-fund could be because of that delay after stocks rallied in the morning here, but I'm not sure. When stocks rally the more aggressive funds like S and I can move faster, as we know, so that could be another angle if they thought a bounce was coming. Dangerous, but I get it.

    I hope that made sense.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  17. #3981

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Ah..yes that makes sense. Humm...that would be a dangerous game to play in expecting a Monday I-fund bounce, especially with so much that could happen over the weekend! But wow that would be awesome if it worked...exit S or C fund and enter I-fund Friday so you get the Friday bounce and then hope for bounce on Monday and exit!! Very interesting!!! ...but the rise occurred after our noon cutoff... and most right at the end of day....still...that would be quite a move.

    Thanks for the explanation Tom!! . !!!
    Last edited by DreamboatAnnie; 03-15-2020 at 01:42 AM.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  19. #3982

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Bond yields...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  21. #3983

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Bear flag. Helicopter money coming soon.

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  23. #3984

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Bear flag. Helicopter money coming soon.
    Hard to believe bond yields could go much lower, but I don't think anyone is moving to bonds for their yield anymore anyway.

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