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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3913

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    tsptalk's Market Talk
    Quote Originally Posted by ravensfan View Post
    Okay, that's it! From now on 1965Vintage is not allowed to play in anymore reindeer games...
    Sent from my moto z3 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app

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  3. #3914

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    Seriously some "Alternative facts" on an ed of April vaccine. The NIH Head says 18 months- before a vaccine can even be put into commercial distribution, and that's if everything goes right.

    We MAY get a turnaround, but it won't be a vaccine that sparks it. And I'm thinking April will be a down month. We'll just have to wait and see.
    By the time the vaccine is made the virus will be gone once spring is here, and very doubtful it'll reappear anytime soon. Haven't had a reoccurrence of sars from 2002-2003 and probably won't of Corona either.

    Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
    Expected FERS Retirement; December 2028
    Thru-hike the Appalachian trail spring 2029

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  5. #3915

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tom4jean View Post
    By the time the vaccine is made the virus will be gone once spring is here, and very doubtful it'll reappear anytime soon. Haven't had a reoccurrence of sars from 2002-2003 and probably won't of Corona either.

    Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
    SARS was quite different. Although it had a much higher mortality rate (~10%) than Corona, it was also contained to 8,096 confirmed cases worldwide (https://www.who.int/csr/sars/country/table2004_04_21/en/). In a short period of time, Corona has tenfold more confirmed cases and is continuing to increase on a daily basis while containment is still being determined. Here is a link to another map that compares the two:

    https://vac-lshtm.shinyapps.io/ncov_tracker/

    *edit* Links need to be copied and pasted into a new window.
    Last edited by blueroadster; 03-04-2020 at 10:44 PM.


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  7. #3916

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by genod View Post
    This might be part of reason for the market action today also.

    https://thehill.com/policy/healthcar...at-coronavirus
    Hummm… I wonder how much of that funding is truly needed and how much is going to politician's good buddies.....nothing like an emergency to take advantage and steal our tax dollars.
    Don't take my comments as trading advice /IFT: 2-13-24=100G/https://www.theepochtimes.com/ & http://www.ewg.org/PermaCharts@p430#5159/strategy#4918p.410

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  9. #3917

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by blueroadster View Post
    SARS was quite different. Although it had a much higher mortality rate (~10%) than Corona, it was also contained to 8,096 confirmed cases worldwide (https://www.who.int/csr/sars/country/table2004_04_21/en/). In a short period of time, Corona has tenfold more confirmed cases and is continuing to increase on a daily basis while containment is still being determined. Here is a link to another map that compares the two:

    https://vac-lshtm.shinyapps.io/ncov_tracker/

    *edit* Links need to be copied and pasted into a new window.
    I understand the containment and area affected are very different, and I do think the cork is out of the bottle on the spread of Corona already. What I was referring to is that the life cycle of these viruses, simalir to the flu, do not tend to survive into the warmer months of summer. So when they say the vaccine will be ready in a year it is a mute point because by then the virus will likely be gone, just as sars was gone almost as quickly as it appeared. So there is no point in looking forward to a vaccine.

    Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
    Expected FERS Retirement; December 2028
    Thru-hike the Appalachian trail spring 2029

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  11. #3918

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tom4jean View Post
    I understand the containment and area affected are very different, and I do think the cork is out of the bottle on the spread of Corona already. What I was referring to is that the life cycle of these viruses, simalir to the flu, do not tend to survive into the warmer months of summer. So when they say the vaccine will be ready in a year it is a mute point because by then the virus will likely be gone, just as sars was gone almost as quickly as it appeared. So there is no point in looking forward to a vaccine.

    Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
    I don't want to misslead anyone on the virus with miss-information. I suggest everyone read the CDC page here for current covid-19 info;

    https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/index.html

    This is copied and pasted from that website;

    "It is not yet known whether weather and temperature impact the spread of COVID-19. Some other viruses, like the common cold and flu, spread more during cold weather months but that does not mean it is impossible to become sick with these viruses during other months. At this time, it is not known whether the spread of COVID-19 will decrease when weather becomes warmer. There is much more to learn about the transmissibility, severity, and other features associated with COVID-19 and investigations are ongoing"

    Sent from my Pixel 2 XL using Tapatalk
    Expected FERS Retirement; December 2028
    Thru-hike the Appalachian trail spring 2029

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  13. #3919

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by 1965Vintage View Post
    I'd bet anyone $10 that the Market is down at least 3% tomorrow.
    We have a winner!
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  15. #3920

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    We have a winner!
    Can we at least wait until 4pm first before paying out? I'm not giving up on the day 15 minutes into the open!

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  17. #3921

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    One of the leaders is failing at the lows...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  18.  
  19. #3922

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by SoonerCaniac View Post
    Can we at least wait until 4pm first before paying out? I'm not giving up on the day 15 minutes into the open!
    OK, I give up. 1965Vintage wins. What tomorrow's prediction?

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  21. #3923

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by 1965Vintage View Post
    I'd bet anyone $10 that the Market is down at least 3% tomorrow.

    Sent from my moto z3 using TSP Talk Forums mobile app
    You called that one...
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  23. #3924

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    One of the leaders is failing at the lows...

    I’m afraid the entire transportation sector is going to be depressed for quite some time. Airlines and Cruise Ships- both cancelling trips. Putting aircraft and shops into mothballs is next. Demand for both is way off, we just don’t see the numbers yet. Give it a couple of weeks and they won’t be able to keep the numbers quiet.

    Trucking continues to be hit, shipping of goods down on slack demand. I am thinking it will be a full fledged recession before too long. We’ll just have to wait and see how it pans out.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums


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