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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3841

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    No bounce. I’m thinking this morning tried to bounce without success, so we are going to get some fear withdrawals tomorrow, and at least another 2% -3% down over the next two days. I don’t see the bottom yet in sight.


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

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  3. #3842

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    No bounce. I’m thinking this morning tried to bounce without success, so we are going to get some fear withdrawals tomorrow, and at least another 2% -3% down over the next two days. I don’t see the bottom yet in sight.
    We're at fairly extreme oversold levels. I think a capitulation sell-off could trigger a short-term low and bounce, even if its not the bottom. The futures re down sharply and that could spark it. Those positive opens we had just won't do that. We may need the puking indicator to make an appearance.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #3843

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I think the 3075-3045 range is where a temporary settlement will be- maybe tomorrow's trading (thursday).. That's both a 200 day moving average and a resistance point on the chart. A bounce up from there is likely, but I don't know how big or how long it will last before dropping again. I'm staying in safety and not going to try catching it.


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  7. #3844

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    Default tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    I think the 3075-3045 range is where a temporary settlement will be- maybe tomorrow's trading (thursday).. That's both a 200 day moving average and a resistance point on the chart. A bounce up from there is likely, but I don't know how big or how long it will last before dropping again. I'm staying in safety and not going to try catching it.
    Wow. Off -2.13% right off the bat at the open, and hitting that 200 day moving average. I was thinking it would at least take a couple of hours to hit that level.

    I’m glad I’m sitting on the sidelines. This time I’m definitely going to wait until things slow down and settle before getting back into stocks. I do not see settlement any time soon. At all.

    Be careful out there!


    Sent from my iPhone using TSP Talk Forums

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  9. #3845

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    With two ifts left for month (been parked in F), i'll probably pull the trigger for a quick bounce especially if things are still negative closer to noon. Probably C fund.

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  11. #3846

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  13. #3847

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by cmil1212 View Post
    With two ifts left for month (been parked in F), i'll probably pull the trigger for a quick bounce especially if things are still negative closer to noon. Probably C fund.
    Good luck with that. Notice what happened to yesterday's morning bounce.

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  15. #3848

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It's only a loss on paper, it's only a loss on paper, it's only a loss on paper...

    Good lord, did I catch a falling knife or what?!?

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  17. #3849

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Wow! Could be a good short-term indicator for stocks if this bounce holds here...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  18.  
  19. #3850

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by jonfresno View Post
    It's only a loss on paper, it's only a loss on paper, it's only a loss on paper...
    Taking away your paper gains?

    To avoid paper losses, I've gone to e-statements.

    I've got a million of them.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  21. #3851

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    We're seeing a nice positive reversal, but it's not always good to trust an early (in the day) reversal. There's too much time for the bears to sell again in the afternoon.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  23. #3852

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    We're seeing a nice positive reversal, but it's not always good to trust an early (in the day) reversal. There's too much time for the bears to sell again in the afternoon.
    Crazy, the transports are oh so slightly positive now after being down almost 5%?


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