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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3673

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Here's the first test of this rebound in yields (10-year Treasury). If that can get taken out, the top of the gap would be the next test.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #3674

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    10-year yield: Gap filled and resistance being tested. Here's the pivot point for the stock market, imho.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #3675

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    so if this breaks through the resistance you see the stock market taking off on the up-side?

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    10-year yield: Gap filled and resistance being tested. Here's the pivot point for the stock market, imho.

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  7. #3676

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by NatInPW View Post
    so if this breaks through the resistance you see the stock market taking off on the up-side?
    It would be more likely. On the other hand, if the resistance hold, stocks may pullback again.

    There are other levels of resistance below 1.9% that could come into play before the 200-day EMA...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #3677

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Stocks are bouncing back from some steep overnight futures losses. The S&P 500 is now down just modestly (about 7 points right now). Oil is up over 10%, bond yields are down, and small caps are rallying big again, nearly hitting Friday's highs again.







    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #3678

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    New highs in High Yield Corporate Bond Fund today, even after the negative reversal day on Friday? Interesting...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  12.  
  13. #3679

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    FedEx leading the Transports lower -nearly testing the 200-day EMA...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #3680

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Petroleum price spike means Fedex will have to pay more for diesel fuel and jet fuel.


    --->

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  17. #3681

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The yield on the 10-year is slipping back below the 50-day EMA ...




    ... after reversing at some overhear resistance...




    While the S&P 500 test the prior highs again...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


  18.  
  19. #3682

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Transports are doing their part in holding at the key 50/200 day EMAs so far this morning. If they fail I assume filling the gap below would be next. Gaps do tend to get filled, but otherwise these EMAs would be a good place for the Transports to try stop the bleeding.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  21. #3683

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I have been giving the Russell 2000 the benefit of the doubt that this could be a bull flag, but the flag in July is a better example, while the current one may be getting too steep to be considered a flag.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  23. #3684

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Boom...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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