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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4789

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Early action: Stocks are down. Small caps are lagging.

    10-year yield: Flat. Dollar: Flat. It's kind of amazing how strong the dollar has been considering the next debt ceiling deadline is two weeks away and I haven't heard anything encouraging in that area yet. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen estimates that US government will run out of money on December 15 if no deal is made.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #4790

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    A sluggish jobless claims number has yields and the dollar slipping lower today. A slow start for stocks but they have been trying to battle back in the first couple of hours of trading. Big tech is leading again.

    The likelihood of an Evergrande default has also put a damper on global markets.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #4791

    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    Location
    Minnesota
    Posts
    48

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Looks like IWM is retesting it's breakout at @232. Maybe a false breakout? Will support or DROP?
    Time to Harvest some Gains!

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  7. #4792

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Early action:

    Yields getting hit - bonds up, but BND is at the top of that head and shoulders patterned I've been talking about in the daily commentary.

    The dollar is up and the passing of the spending bill in the House may have something to do with that, although the recent trend has been up.




    Small caps are lagging again and the S-fund's DWCPF index is trying to hold onto that old resistance line as support.




    The S&P is playing with the recent highs. Looks poised for a breakout -- or a double top pullback. Your call.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #4793

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yields and the dollar are popping higher in early action on Monday. That is sending bonds down so that head and shoulders pattern is playing out on BND.



    The large caps are rallying while small caps lag. Interestingly, the S&P 500 is up almost 1% and the Russell 2000 Index is also up 1%, but the DWCPF broader small / mid cap index is flat for some reason. The I-fund is also lagging because of the strength in the dollar and covid cases in Europe.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

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  11. #4794

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Transports are up 2.35% this morning.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

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  13. #4795

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I just heard that today's commentary wasn't uploaded. Sorry.

    https://www.tsptalk.com/comments.php

    -------------------------

    Early action:

    Another positive open for stocks goes south in a hurry. The small caps are closing in on the open gap we've watched for the last month, while Monday's negative reversal plays out with some weakness. Is it going to be a Turnaround Tuesday and positive holiday bias, or have the bears gotten serious?




    Yields are up again and the dollar is relatively flat.


    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #4796

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    'Almost' filled.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #4797

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The plethora of economic reports have been coming in today, and the dollar is up again. The yield on the 10-year rallied early, but as if often the case, we see a double top pullback has since ensued and it is now down slightly.




    Stocks are mixed but still struggling on one of the most bullish days of the year historically -- pre Thanksgiving Day.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.


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  19. #4798

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Ugh! Today was supposed to be a cake walk for the bulls. Not to be.

    Yields are tanking, the dollar is finally down and broke its uptrend.




    Stocks are getting clobbered with the S&P 500 aiming towards its 50-day EMA, while the DWCPF (S-fund) filled its gap and it testing the moving average that has been holding all year.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #4799

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Early action:

    The 10-year yield and dollar are up making an attempt to fill Friday's overhead gaps.




    Stocks opened higher but fading a bit after the initial gains of over 1% in many indices. Perhaps it is just filling in the morning gap, but obviously where it closes is more important. The S-fund has been down for weeks and trying to find support near that moving average that has held all year.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #4800

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Early action:

    The yield on the 10-year moved sharply lower on Tuesday after another wave of Omicron scares. The chart did fill an open gap that had been partially filled a few weeks ago, and it is also testing the 200-day EMA.



    The dollar is down for a second day and heading toward some significant support, but it also opened two new gaps along the way.


    A test of the lows seems to be in progress for the stock indices. The question of course is whether the prior lows hold. We had seen three "V" bottoms at the orange moving average over the summer, but more of a consolidating low in October. This tells us that there is buying interest at this level, so there is a battle going on in the 2200 - 2240 area right now in the S fund.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

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