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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4633

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Lumber lost 9% on Tuesday and incredibly, is now down for 2021 as it tests the January lows.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #4634

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yields right back down again. BND filled its gap and reversed...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #4635

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The dollar is up, but yields are cracking again. What the heck? Are investors worried about inflation, or a slow down in the economy?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.


  6.  
  7. #4636

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Seems like slowdown is the bigger risk and markets are looking forward.

    The global economy has reached 'Peak Boom' and fund managers are much less bullish over growth, earnings and inflation compared to earlier in the year, Bank of America's July global fund manager survey shows.
    https://markets.businessinsider.com/...ic-boom-2021-7

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  9. #4637

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    You've been spot on with that for a while. But the market sells off on either data now.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #4638

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Some morning nerves from the Transports as it flirts with another breakdown below the key 100-day EMA.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  12.  
  13. #4639

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The dollar is up this morning, although off the opening highs. We know about the I-fund's dependence on the dollar, but this chart shows just how much the S-fund (dwcpf) has disliked the rallies in the dollar in recent weeks.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #4640

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Any thoughts on the put/call ratio? Was just going through some charts and it stood out. Biggest spike since the election.

    pcratio.png

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  17. #4641

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Any thoughts on the put/call ratio? Was just going through some charts and it stood out. Biggest spike since the election.
    These are 10 day averages but yeah, they're moving in the right direction to get to extreme.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  18.  
  19. #4642

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yields down again. The dollar is down slightly and the VIX is spiking.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #4643

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Unlike previous short 2-4% pullbacks, this has nothing to do with Yields this time. Seems to be the 140% rise in Covid Cases/30% rise in deaths nationwide past 2 weeks...Delta Variant is threatening the entire "Re-opening Trade".
    At some point, if yields continue to slowly slide down, that could bring the bottom a little quicker, IMHO.
    CURRENTLY 100% C (as of COB 12/29/2021) 1st December IFT

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  23. #4644

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yeah, could be tied together - yields falling because of COVID cases.

    10-year down to 1.15% this morning. The dollar is up sharply again, possibly because of the trouble in Europe?

    The S&P is getting a bounce (dead cat?) off the 50-day EMA - can the pattern repeat? The Russell is up testing the Monday morning gap again. Big day, close is key.




    Turnaround Tuesday? Shhh!
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Please do your own due diligence.


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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
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EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
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tsptalk's Market Talk
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