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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4513

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I'm not sure why yields would be down so much on a strong retail sales report. It seems like the opposite reaction that I would have expected? Kind of like oil yesterday - it broke up from a bear flag, and that's what BND (F-fund) is doing today, oddly on an inflationary report, which is sending gold higher - as you'd expect.

    So I have to admit that I don't get the move in bonds today, but gold makes sense.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  3. #4514

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    A couple of struggling charts.

    DWCPF (S-fund) needs to hold here otherwise face 3 potential downside targets.




    HTG failed breakout again.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #4515

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #4516

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Doller (UUP) is filling the gap. Will the top of the gap provide resistance and send it lower again?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #4517

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The dollar resumes its downside plunge today. 10-Year Treasury yield is trying to bounce off the 50-day EMA.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #4518

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    This rally sure feels completely algo driven. I mean, what changed from yesterday's sell off that scared investors into worrying about tax hikes? The answer... stocks went higher this morning and the algos are jumping on it.

    Watching the 15 minute chart of the Nasdaq futures since the market opened, there are 16 positive bars, 2 negative. No one is selling.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.


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  13. #4519

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    This rally sure feels completely algo driven. I mean, what changed from yesterday's sell off that scared investors into worrying about tax hikes? The answer... stocks went higher this morning and the algos are jumping on it.

    Watching the 15 minute chart of the Nasdaq futures since the market opened, there are 16 positive bars, 2 negative. No one is selling.
    Or could it be the algo's were in charge yesterday and drove price down immediately, and I mean as soon as the tax hike reports came out, within a minute stocks started dropping. Humans can't react that quickly. Then today the humans stepped in with cooler heads and rational thinking and realized that the tax hike is just a proposal and and might even be reduced as the two sides banter back and forth. Thus markets back up. JMO

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  15. #4520

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Russell 2000 small caps: Watch that 230 area of the "mothman" pattern for a possible peak. Actually, it's a head and shoulders pattern, but mothman is cooler.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #4521

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Just another negative reversal day in the Transports that gets followed up by a rally.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  18.  
  19. #4522

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Reminder that Alphabet (Google) and Microsoft report after the bell today.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #4523

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    10-year yield is breaking out after holding support. That means trouble for the F-fund.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #4524

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    10-year yield is breaking out after holding support. That means trouble for the F-fund.
    Whatever the Fed said, flipped this over and it is now down on the day.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  24.  
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SPY (C Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
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tsptalk's Market Talk
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