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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4453

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The credit market ETF just went positive for the day.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  2.  
  3. #4454

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Nice reversal. 10 minutes to go, but it looks like the Transports are actually going to close at an all-time high.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #4455

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Credit market smarting today.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.


  6.  
  7. #4456

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Gotta hold here.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #4457

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yields are getting serious...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #4458

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yesterday's high (over 1.6%) and reversal in the 10-year yield may be a temporary peak. If not, the correction in stocks should continue. If it does start to pullback and try to fill that open gap, we could see a relief rally in stocks. The very early action on Friday shows the yield dipping below 1.5% again, so we see a little buying in the indices. There's lots of time for that to change however.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  12.  
  13. #4459

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The S&P 500 is testing that 50-day EMA. Waiting for a bottom, is a lot like waiting for a pot of water to boil. It won't happen if you're watching it.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #4460

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The S&P 500 is testing that 50-day EMA. Waiting for a bottom, is a lot like waiting for a pot of water to boil. It won't happen if you're watching it.
    For me its usually watching for a boil over. It doesn't happen until right after you look away. Lol

  16.  
  17. #4461

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    If it does start to pullback and try to fill that open gap, we could see a relief rally in stocks.
    What do you think, yields cooling into next week? $TNX looks a bit more indicative of a turn than $TYX.

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  19. #4462

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yeah, both charts look peaky, at least for short term.

    Did you see the dollar?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #4463

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yeah, that's another thing. Huge reversal and looking like the H&S pattern was completely negated.

    Looking at the big picture though, it shouldn't be bearish that rates are returning to pre-covid levels. It's just going to take some time for carry trades and momentum strategies to adjust.

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  23. #4464

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Reversals today - yields falling some again today after Thursday's reversal, credit (HYG) up big, and VIX is down 16% and back below the 200-day EMA.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.


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