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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4357

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    That's crazy - Airbnb and doordash valuations. And don't forget Tesla.

    I'm not sure we're at that wild dot com pace yet, but there is something going on, whether it's that M1 Fed money, interest rates, or just a little irrational exuberance.

    The S&P is actually less than 3% above the September high. It's just this recent run since November and the election that seems very odd given what's going on with COVID. 25% gain in the S-fund in six weeks? What the?
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #4358

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    20 year chart IWM - Russell 2000 ETF:

    121120a.jpg

    Click chart to enlarge
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #4359

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Hey is Jim Cramer watching TSPTALK? LOL He just posted this this morning after my dot com comparison. HMMM https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/11/jim-...sh-debuts.html Its a crazy time.

    Tom maybe you should take TSPTALK public and was can all be backers and make millions.
    Last edited by quabit; 12-11-2020 at 10:31 AM.

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  7. #4360

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yes! You were on top of that!

    I think nnuut is actually Cramer.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  9. #4361

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I have a pets.com stuffed dog I bought way back then as a joke. I still have it and also the Taco Bell stuffed talking dog. Wonder if it will be worth a lot of money some day? Maybe I can go on Pawn Stars. ��

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  11. #4362

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Bull flag breakout in bonds?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  12.  
  13. #4363

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    20 year chart IWM - Russell 2000 ETF
    Logarithmic chart the ramp up isn't as drastic.

  14.  
  15. #4364

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Bull flag breakout in bonds?
    Definitely something to watch. Todays' bond rates would still be at all time lows if yields went up 100%. Not saying we're heading for 5% mortgages again any time soon, but small percent increase would make sense.

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  17. #4365

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Logarithmic chart the ramp up isn't as drastic.
    121120d.jpg
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


  18.  
  19. #4366

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    But it's still a ramp up.

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  21. #4367

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    I am new to charting and to start learning I've had a StockCharts account for a couple of months now. I am fascinated by trendlines and the patterns they reveal. I was trying to recreate your first IWM chart's trendlines Tom when I noticed that all of my charts were on the log scale by default. I didn't notice it because I haven't been looking back 20 years. tsptalk's Market Talk So I made a linear long-term IWM chart and saved it separately from my original log IWM chart. That begs the question: do you typically plot linear or log charts in your commentaries? Do you have a preference?

    For the other newbies in the audience, I found a brief article explaining the differences here:

    https://www.stockcharts.com/articles...tic-chart.html

    Thanks for bringing this to my attention Tom!

    Sent from my moto x4 using Tapatalk

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  23. #4368

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I look at it similarly to EMA vs. SMA moving averages. They can be self fulfilling and it depends what is working at the moment. If it looks like trendlines are only working (holding) on a chart that uses log scale, then go with that (for now). If the linear chart trendlines are working, use that until it stops.

    But as you mention, linear vs. log scale is more meaningful on longer term charts. I almost always use linear on the short-term 3 - 4 month charts, but there wouldn't be much difference between the two.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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