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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4297

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Breakdown in the dollar. When the dollar is down, asset prices in dollars tend to go up.

    So, stocks up today, gold up, silver up, bitcoin up, copper up, oil down?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  3. #4298

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The morning movers...

    10-year Treasury yield hit 8.5% for first time June for 1st time in almost 5 months.




    The dollar bounced to fill the oen gap, and test the bottom of the H&S neckline. Resistance "should" hold.




    The Russell 2000 small caps index is leading the U.S indices.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  5. #4299

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The market as a whole is doing well this morning, but there's something keeping it from being obvious. Intel




    The S&P is up and potentially breaking out from its bull flag, but INTC is a drag.




    But checkout the Equal Weighted S&P 500 Index...




    And the internals...





    And even the Russell 2000 small caps index...




    Possible breakout out day, but it's early. Headlines and the large caps indices being taken down by INTC could scare investors.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #4300

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Huge week for earnings coming up and possibly make or break for the Nasdaq with most of FAANG reporting, which has been leading the market rally for years.

    There's always a possibility of a sell the news reaction even if the numbers are good, but the Nasdaq has been struggling in recent weeks, and sell the news reactions tend to come after stocks have been rallying, so...

    Sent from my SM-G930U using Tapatalk
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #4301

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Huge week for earnings coming up and possibly make or break for the Nasdaq with most of FAANG reporting, which has been leading the market rally for years.

    There's always a possibility of a sell the news reaction even if the numbers are good, but the Nasdaq has been struggling in recent weeks, and sell the news reactions tend to come after stocks have been rallying, so...

    Sent from my SM-G930U using Tapatalk
    I'm tracking Microsoft Tuesday, and FB GOOG AAPL AMZN Thursday. Massive day Thursday as that's about $5T in market cap for just those 4 companies, not including all the other companies reporting earnings that day. If they are all after the bell, it'll make for a crazy Friday.

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  11. #4302

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Early indications: Yields are down, sending financials stocks down, and those small bank stocks in the Russell 2000 that what were doing so well last week when yields were rising, are playing give-backs today.

    All three of these charts are being pushed back into a formation they broke out of last week. Nothing bearish yet as the formations are still leaning bullish, but the failed breakouts aren't very bullish.

    The eagerness, or lack thereof, of the dip buyers may be the tell later today.





    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.


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  13. #4303

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    HYG had a failed break out, then today it may be breaking down from what looks like a small bear flag. Interesting support and bounce at the low. If that is a bear flag, it could have further to fall. If 84.25 can hold, it's a possible double bottom low for this pullback.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  15. #4304

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The bulls aren't doing much today to follow through on yesterday's attempted reversal, but the 50-day EMA is still trying to hold.




    Same with the HYG credit market ETF...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #4305

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The dollar is down sharply today helping the small caps and I-fund but something is dragging the s&p 500 down... apple and amazon are both in the red, so...
    Simply put, volatility peak @33 just a bit more prolonged than back on 9/3....I believe it's fear of uncertain guidance such as CAT earlier today, but that's not tech....which I think will be quelled when these, other, majors report an a couple days; probably earlier (like before today's close, as I indicated on the ETF thread). The last thing people will give up on is buying the latest smart phone. It's like legal coke.

    Or the sky will fall, ^VIX will rocket up to 40+, and so on. I doubt it, but I won't be turning off my computer today.

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  19. #4306

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Welcome to the latest October surprise...




    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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  21. #4307

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I guess we had to fill the gaps eventually.
    May the force be with us.

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  23. #4308

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    S-fund gaps...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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