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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4153

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    All looking broadly fine. A market selloff tomorrow would be worrisome.

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  3. #4154

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Apple beats.

    Google beats.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #4155

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    New AAII survey.

    20% bullish. 49% bearish.

    Wow.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #4156

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Bulls just keep drying up. In late May - early June there were 33-34% bulls.

    Sentimentrader seems to think these numbers are very negative, but we are in a bull market and buy signals aren't what we're looking for. Wall of worry.

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  9. #4157

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The dollar, bitcoin, gold, and silver all up today. Interesting. I thought the metals were feeding off of the weak dollar.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #4158

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Bulls just keep drying up. In late May - early June there were 33-34% bulls.

    Sentimentrader seems to think these numbers are very negative, but we are in a bull market and buy signals aren't what we're looking for. Wall of worry.
    Hmm.. Where are you seeing that - that ST is negative based on AAII's low bullish percentage?

    I'm not sure if this is part if the pay portion of his site...

    https://www.sentimentrader.com/blog/...eing-left-out/

    The Backtest Engine shows that the S&P 500 has rallied 93% of the time over the next three months when fewer than 20.5% of respondents considered themselves bullish on the market.
    The most recent time this happened was 2102 and it turned out to be bearish, but the prior 9 times showed positive returns 1, 2, 3, 6, and 12 months out.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.


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  13. #4159

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Where are you seeing that - that ST is negative based on AAII's low bullish percentage?
    str.JPG

    https://twitter.com/sentimentrader/s...56985841131520

    His twitter information is often data mined clickbait. I should have checked his site before posting that, because he gave a different explanation on the site. Looks like you and I both posted that.

    https://www.tsptalk.com/mb/psycholog...tml#post643186

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  15. #4160

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Dannyboy has sent 2 emails, previously. Dannyboy IFT is set at G1C59S40 since 7-31-20. I had changed to G100 on Saturday,7- 25, but I canned that on 10:00am on Monday 7-27. I am glad I did but I am not able to get back to you. I know that you can’t change your what has been but it has to would be good if I can start August out correct and that is
    Dannyboy is set at G1C9S40 on 8-1-20. I do hop that this can be done? During this pandemic I do have lots of free time, so I put focus on the thing I
    can?

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  17. #4161

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    Looks like you and I both posted that.
    Oops. Sorry I missed that post.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  18.  
  19. #4162

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Overhead gap filled on 10-year yield, and right back down...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #4163

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    A couple of red flags today, despite the strong performance in stocks: The High Yield Bonds are down, and the VIX is up after a big reversal this morning. There's still a couple of hours to change that, but just a midday observation.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #4164

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    There goes the dollar again....




    Yields are popping higher, but so far only enough to fill an open gap.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor. Do your own due diligence.

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