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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #4069

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The May ADP jobs numbers were much stronger than expected and pushed the 10-year yield up toward March highs, and into the 50-day EMA again...
    This is the sort of thing that makes me second guess "my strategy," but those gaps!!!

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  3. #4070

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    30 million people out of work later, and the Nasdaq 100 (NDX, large cap tech) just hit the February highs. How does that make sense? Are people still buying iphones and PC's with their unemployment money? Double top or breakout?

    The Nasdaq Composite isn't quite there yet.


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  5. #4071

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I don't try to make sense of it anymore. Now I'm just under the assumption it will always be a bull market, because the Fed will always step in at any sign of weakness.

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  7. #4072

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by bmneveu View Post
    I don't try to make sense of it anymore. Now I'm just under the assumption it will always be a bull market, because the Fed will always step in at any sign of weakness.

    Yeah, but some point that will no longer work as inflation will eat us all alive. Countries in South America have demonstrated this many times over in my lifetime at least.

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  9. #4073

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Here's a question I've had on my mind the last few days as I've been trying to reconcile having got out of the market after the first big (well, 2-3 %) pop after the bottom and having missed the entire rally since. I can't help but suspect the market is being manipulated by big money for political reasons. There's no doubt the markets had done really well under the Trump administration, so there's an incentive to help create a positive economic environment to enhance the chance of a second term. Or maybe big money is just pumping the market to seduce others to do the same in the hopes of getting back to the highs and rallying beyond.

    So my question: how or what source(s) can I go to identify the share of equity purchases that is a result of big money investors (banks, financial institutions, corporations)? Is there a way to get a clear sense of this?

    I've been sitting on the sideline largely because I don't trust this market but dearly want to start recovering some of my (and my wife's) retirement losses. But I'm afraid of losing even more at this point. I got out because we had hit a loss level that we set as the threshold at which our retirement plans would be financially at risk -- not catastrophic but certainly affecting perhaps some of the discretionary goals we had.

    Can anyone help me with this? Also, is there a source for info on corporate buy-backs? Frankly, I don't want to follow big money as I don't fully trust it's concern for small investors.

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  11. #4074

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I don't think there's a lot of corporate buy backs going on now because of the PPP, but this was posted a few days ago showing insider buying...

    https://www.tsptalk.com/mb/tsp-talk-...tml#post640138

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  13. #4075

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    6/1/2020 insider buying ratio from Barrons.

    insider.JPG

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  15. #4076

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    I don't think there's a lot of corporate buy backs going on now because of the PPP, but this was posted a few days ago showing insider buying...

    https://www.tsptalk.com/mb/tsp-talk-...tml#post640138
    Thanks Tom. I'll have to read up on insider trading measures and how they relate to current market action/trend.

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  17. #4077

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Bullitt View Post
    MGM stock has seen massive insider buying since March 30 - mostly in the $10-$13 range.
    Some insiders sitting on 100% gains in a little more than a month. The biggest single purchase worth $12M occurred on 3/31. A good place to start is to follow what the board of directors at MGM do

    Brings new meaning to 'the house always wins'.

    mgm2.JPG


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  19. #4078

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    My wife bought MGM and Delta Airlines a month or so ago. Every time they went up I recommended to her to take the money and run. Did she listen? Thankfully, no.

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  21. #4079

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by bmneveu View Post
    I don't try to make sense of it anymore. Now I'm just under the assumption it will always be a bull market, because the Fed will always step in at any sign of weakness.
    Been pumpin for 12 years now. Can't stop now!

    https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/d...onthly-summary

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  23. #4080

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by bmneveu View Post
    Been pumpin for 12 years now. Can't stop now!
    It seems so wrong. Capitalism at its worst?

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