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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3745

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I was all about jumping in but I looked at other articles and I saw Trump was at it again, threatening tariffs. That really spooked me for I lost 1/5 my account, last December. I'll wait for a better time.
    2 IFT's! That's it, Be cautious & WISE!

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  3. #3746

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Gold and bonds are down, oil is up, so this isn't exactly a panic sell-off. That could change if the downside continues into the day / week, but right now, it looks "normal" or healthy after the rally we've had.
    Stocks are falling and this time Gold and bonds are rallying, so it's risk off on Wall Street.


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  5. #3747

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    One gap filled (blue), another small one opens (red) as we wait for the next trade headline...




    The Bloomberg report, which cited people familiar with the talks, said the two countries were moving closer to agreeing on the amount of tariffs that would be rolled back in a so-called phase-one trade deal. President Donald Trump also said Wednesday that trade talks with China were going well.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/04/dow-...ring-data.html

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  7. #3748

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    A little pullback in bonds today - just enough to fill another gap. So, all gaps are filled above the flag. This looks bullish for the F-fund - unless those gaps within the flag get some attention.


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  9. #3749

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Big rally in stocks today after the jobs number thumps estimates, and doubles the "whisper number". Another gap was opened. The question is, will this be one of those rare "runaway" gaps that doesn't get filled (maybe months or years down the road) or will it be like the more typical open gap that gets filled relatively quickly, like so many on this chart?




    The Transports gapped up but also filled another gap and may be stalling and coming off the highs - although it's still early in the day.




    Seasonality shifts to a more negative bias next week and the trade deal deadline is the 15th.

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  11. #3750

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Volatility Index is down this morning, but trying to hold above that 200-day EMA. Is it just me, or does it feel like something's about to happen to get this to bounce here? It's probably just me.


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  13. #3751

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Breakout - up to the bottom of the old support line. It could be a roadblock, although the resistance line is rising...


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  15. #3752

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I think that a lot of people are going to believe the Santa rally is starting early and we're off to the races!

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  17. #3753

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by rangerray View Post
    I think that a lot of people are going to believe the Santa rally is starting early and we're off to the races!
    Unless the new tariffs get implemented on Sunday. This was just another "on again" trade tweet from Pres. Trump.


    Dow jumps 260 points, hits record on Trump tweet saying US is ‘very close’ to China deal

    Stocks jumped in early trading Thursday after President Donald Trump said China and the U.S. were zeroing in on a trade deal, lifting hope that an agreement will be reached before a key deadline.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/12/stoc...ll-street.html


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  19. #3754

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    lol. My glass is half full today.

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  21. #3755

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Unless the new tariffs get implemented on Sunday. This was just another "on again" trade tweet from Pres. Trump.


    Dow jumps 260 points, hits record on Trump tweet saying US is ‘very close’ to China deal



    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/12/stoc...ll-street.html

    SURE....... VERY CLOSE to that China deal...

    any moment now.


    (Waiting for Godot. )

    godot-4.jpg

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  23. #3756

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by James48843 View Post
    SURE....... VERY CLOSE to that China deal...

    any moment now.


    (Waiting for Godot. )
    Phase 1 done, whatever that means. ("in principle pending Trump’s approval"). I'll have to read up.

    https://www.tsptalk.com/mb/day-to-da...tml#post630172

    The president is meeting with advisors Thursday afternoon about whether to scrap the next round of tariffs on China.

    The Trump administration has offered to scrap tariffs on Chinese goods set to take effect Sunday and cut some existing duties in half, sources told CNBC.

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