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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3601

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Dow and S&P are holding up just fine so far today, but once again the transports and small caps are lagging badly and getting hit to the tune of -1.0% ...



    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  2.  
  3. #3602

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The 10-year Treasury yield is down to 1.983% this morning.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  4.  
  5. #3603

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The futures popped higher at about 5 AM when Mnuchin had good things to say about a Chine deal. The back and forth continues...

    US / China Trade Negotiations

    The question is whether a rally can hold after the recent change in direction.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #3604

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    ... The back and forth continues...
    Quote Originally Posted by NewsFeeder View Post
    Trump Today: President threatens tariffs on China as he jokes Draghi should lead Fed


    President Donald Trump says the alternative to a trade pact with China is simple: collect tariffs and do less business with the second-largest economy.


    https://finance.yahoo.com/m/d23868be...html?.tsrc=rss
    ...
    [COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]

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  9. #3605

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The recently lagging Transports and small caps are leading today. The Transports are up big but stalled and dipped back a bit at the 50/200 EMA, while smalls caps broke back above its 50-day EMA.



    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #3606

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Day 2 for small caps and Transports... Boom! The Russell 2000 (which is rebalancing today) and the Transport Index are up 1.0%% and 1.4% respectively here midday.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  12.  
  13. #3607

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The small caps / Russell 2000 has nearly filled its open gap already. The question is whether it will fill and go, or just make a peak here. It was quite a rally from Last week's low to this morning's high (more than 4% in 3 days). Does it have anything left?



    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #3608

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    We're seeing a pop in the dollar this morning, right up to the old support lines that broke down recently...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #3609

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Follow up: Gap on Russell has been filled:



    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The small caps / Russell 2000 has nearly filled its open gap already. The question is whether it will fill and go, or just make a peak here. It was quite a rally from Last week's low to this morning's high (more than 4% in 3 days). Does it have anything left?



    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


  18.  
  19. #3610

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Copper signal?

    Is the price copper signaling trouble ahead? Looking at this 5 year weekly chart, copper seems to peak before stocks do by a couple to several months. When they are diverging (copper going down while stocks are rallying) the stock market can lag that move, but tends to follow eventually.

    With the S&P 500 near all-time highs and copper's chart looking like a head and shoulders pattern forming within a downtrend, how long can stocks diverge?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #3611

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Wednesday's small gap (red) has been filled. Is that it for the downside, or are the other gaps (blue) now targets?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #3612

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Remember the days when good news was good, and bad news was bad? Not anymore. The market is throwing a little "I want my interest rate cuts!" tantrum.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  24.  
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