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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #3553

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The dollar's making new highs this morning. The I-fund has actually held up well despite this.




    The S&P is rebounding but is still within that bear flag.




    The 10-year yield is rallying off that double bottom and looks to want to test the 20, maybe the 50-day EMA...




    ... and that will pull bonds (F-fund) down slightly, but as we talked about in today's commentary, there's some decent support just below in the bond fund.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #3554

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Transports are not looking great today. After a few failed attempts to get back above the 50-day EMA, it is now falling back below the 200-day EMA and looking like a form of a head and shoulders pattern. The low on the 13th is key support level, otherwise 10,000 may be next.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #3555

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The Dow hasn't broken down like the Transports in that previous post, but you can see that it is struggling at the 50-day EMA - which held firmly as support in March. The Transports are generally considered a leading index, so does that mean the Dow will pull back sharply from the 50-EMA next?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  7. #3556

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Things can change in the blink of an eye in this volatile market, but the 100-day is being tested again on the S&P, and...




    ... the 200-day EMA broke down this morning on the small caps.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  9. #3557

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    New low in the 10-year T-note yield.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #3558

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Nice pop in the small caps, and I'm sure it wants to fill that open gap, but now that it broke down, the 200-day EMA is getting in the way - at least for today. Maybe next week?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  13. #3559

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    200-day EMA test time...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #3560

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Small caps trying to hang onto that neckline of H&S...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #3561

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    This morning's rally has nearly filled yesterday's open gap, and is back testing that dreaded make or break 2800 area.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  18.  
  19. #3562

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The small caps filled it's gap. Now the upside could get a little tougher. There is another gap near 1380, but it will have to get back above the 200-day EMA to fill it.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #3563

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Gap filled, and sellers stepped in...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #3564

    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Location
    Petersburg, Alaska
    Posts
    471

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Tom...was 200 day on SPX breached/wall at end of day
    EJJ


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