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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #2893

    Join Date
    Dec 2007
    Location
    inland Northwest
    Posts
    4,124

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Nasty-looking red candle there, friends. $spx daily.
    "life can only be understood backwards, but it must be lived forwards" - soren kierkegaard

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  3. #2894

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Weird day.

    Dow +0.85%
    Nasdaq -1.15%
    S&P +0.02%
    small caps (dwcpf) +0.48%
    EFA -0.54%
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #2895

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    A tale of two markets, the Transports are flying and the Nasdaq 100 is dying...




    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  7. #2896

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Today seems to be a minor Turnaround Tuesday. The indices that were strong over the last week, are dipping (financials, small caps , transports), and the ones that were lagging are bouncing (big tech).
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #2897

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Hello Dolly! The dollar (UUP) is breaking out of a huge bull flag (weekly chart)...




    It could mean more head winds for the I-fund in the intermediate term.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #2898

    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii
    Posts
    1,823

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    How likely is a December rate hike? And what effect would that have on the dollar, if any?


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  13. #2899

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I think they are saying it's nearly 100%. The dollar has been rising because of that, but perhaps we'll see a short-term sell the news reaction for the $$, but it depends on what the Fed says about future hikes in the meeting.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  15. #2900

    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii
    Posts
    1,823

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    I think they are saying it's nearly 100%. The dollar has been rising because of that, but perhaps we'll see a short-term sell the news reaction for the $$, but it depends on what the Fed says about future hikes in the meeting.
    True, but I wonder if it's going to be a 'sell the news' type of reaction, and the price activity in the dollar is going to be the opposite of what everybody expects. I guess that's the million dollar question though

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  17. #2901

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Another very interesting day. The Dow is up nicely (+60). S&P is basically flat (up 1). The Nasdaq 100 is getting hit hard (down 1%). Transports are up big (up 1%). Small caps are down slightly. Bonds are rolling over again.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  19. #2902

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I see the indices are moving higher into the Fed announcement while bonds are slipping although still up slightly.

    That's the logical direction considering it appears 20,000 is a magnet right now but wait for the dust to settle after the initial volatile reaction. We may not see the true reaction / direction until tomorrow since emotion is likely the catalyst today. It could get wild if there are any surprises.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  21. #2903

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The VIX hit a 16-month low this morning...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  23. #2904

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The small cap fund had a bull flag breakout this morning. Needs to hold into the close.




    The S&P 500 is testing the top of its flag.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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