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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #2665

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I notice the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) lagging this morning. If this is a new bull market it usually means new leaders will emerge. That may be the case because some of the leaders of the prior bull market are still lagging badly compared to the major indices...





    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #2666

    Join Date
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    FGI.png

    CNN's Fear & Greed Index seems pretty useful for looking for a good time to buy. Buy fear sell greed

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  5. #2667

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #2668

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The 10-year treasury yield has made a triple bearish pattern which, if they play out as T/A would have us believe, could be bullish for bonds prices and the F-fund going forward.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #2669

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Like the AGG bond chart I post in my commentary, gold is also in a pennant formation and surprisingly the bullish pattern broke down - mostly because the dollar has been rising. But these patterns can do the fake-out / breakout dance so give it a few days to before declaring this a breakdown. Plus it would have to rebound back into the pennant to fill the open gap created this morning. I'm not a gold bug by any means - I don't own any at the moment - although buying some for a quick trade to fill that gap is on my radar. I just like to watch how common T/A patterns play out.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  11. #2670

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I noticed I have a tougher time being bullish without Birch around

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  13. #2671

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by sniper View Post
    I noticed I have a tougher time being bullish without Birch around
    How's this.... Stocks are up? Great, I'm making money! Stocks are down? Great, I can buy more!
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #2672

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    How's this.... Stocks are up? Great, I'm making money! Stocks are down? Great, I can buy more!
    Forgot to add more golden prices for my dividend buybacks, my wallflowers will accumulate more shares in time for SPX to run up to 4000 *snort*

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  17. #2673

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Oil futures moved down overnight and early today, but stabilized for most of the day until the last few minutes...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  19. #2674

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Only a modest day down for the DOW and SPX, but small caps (IWM) got totally slammed today.

    It seems like large caps have been showing more strength the past few months, and I always heard Birch saying the end of bull runs are near when large caps outperform. Could this be it?

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  21. #2675

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    This morning's open gap has been filled and now the SPY may be running into some resistance. Getting above 204 will be an important area in this last half hour of trading and into next week. It's the last 30 minutes of trading before a 3-day market weekend so I won't rule anything out.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  23. #2676

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The 3:33 pre-holday whoop!

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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