Page 222 of 492 FirstFirst ... 122172212220221222223224232272322 ... LastLast
Results 2,653 to 2,664 of 5903

Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #2653

    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    8,456
    Blog Entries
    298

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by sniper View Post
    The F fund is pissing me off, shouldn't it be up on a day like today?
    Quote Originally Posted by userque View Post
    Not if, as Fred Sanford used to say, "this is the big one!"

    For whatever reasons, correlations occasionally flip-flop. F fund vs C/S/I funds. Gold vs Dollar. Etc.
    I'm glad you brought this topic up, it has always been of interest to me.

    Back when I first started here, I had manually counted how often the F-Fund traded in the same direction as the C-Fund, it was about 33% of the time. This was before I knew how to do anything in excel, so it was a very primitive calculation.

    In 2015, over 254 days

    SPX/W4500 traded in the same direction 87% of the time.

    SPX/AGG traded in the same direction 19% of the time.

    That's probably a fair estimate of the overall performance across most years.
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

  2.  
  3. #2654

    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    8,456
    Blog Entries
    298

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Pre-markets had a strong session, up 10-25 points

    Capture.PNG
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

  4.  
  5. #2655

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Yet another test this morning for the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) at the 200-day EMA...

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


  6.  
  7. #2656

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    There is a large gap there that may need to get filled, but this looks like a significant breakout for the high yield bonds, after several prior breaks above other resistance. This may be a very bullish indicator for stocks. We'll see how it survives the Fed next week.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #2657

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I hope Birchtree is watching from afar in his retirement. He lived for this type of action - irrational exuberance.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  10.  
  11. #2658

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I don't know exactly how closely this End Of Day daily chart of WTI Oil corresponds with the open active futures prices, but I see crude futures trading below $37 right now. A possible break down of the rising channel if it holds. A healthy pullback would find support at the 50-day EMA, but how will stocks react?

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  12.  
  13. #2659

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Oil just ticked below $36. Healthy pause or end of a bear market rally?



    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #2660

    Join Date
    Jun 2011
    Location
    Oklahoma City
    Posts
    129

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I think oil will test the 35.50 level and stay in a range of $35 to $40. If it does then I think the market will go higher into mid-April. This would coincide with the election chart that was posted. I've had pretty good luck following the chart over the last month. We will have a clear direction soon.

  16.  
  17. #2661

    Join Date
    Jul 2012
    Location
    Honolulu, Hawaii
    Posts
    1,823

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    AGG and Gold just spiked big time.. hmmm...

    edit: and the SPX also. something's a brewing haha. People hedging bets before the fed meeting? sounds like risky business, like buying stocks before earnings report

  18.  
  19. #2662

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by sniper View Post
    AGG and Gold just spiked big time.. hmmm...

    edit: and the SPX also. something's a brewing haha. People hedging bets before the fed meeting? sounds like risky business, like buying stocks before earnings report
    unless you know what's in the earnings report...

  20.  
  21. #2663

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    If this can hold up here above the 200 EMA, it's a very good development.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  22.  
  23. #2664

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    The SPY did this a few days ago, but the S%P 500 Index itself has now filled its open gap from the first trading day in January.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


  24.  
Page 222 of 492 FirstFirst ... 122172212220221222223224232272322 ... LastLast

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
BND (F Fund) (delayed)
tsptalk's Market Talk
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)

Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes