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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #13

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I'm going to make a prediction that no matter what happens this week- bullish or bearish- the headlines one week from now will say, "Low Volume on NYSE With Traders Away on Vacation."

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  3. #14

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Looking back, volume was huge during the days leading up Thanksgiving week last year (except for Wed and Friday) nearly double what we are seeing right now, with volume hitting 5 to 7 billion on the S&P.

    We're only seeing 3 to 4 billion lately. So, volume will be light on Wednesday and Friday for sure, but where are the traders this year?

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  5. #15

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Where are the traders this year?
    Out of work.
    Imploding markets have changed that. Almost 1,500 hedge funds went out of business last year, according to Hedge Fund Research Inc., a Chicago-based research outfit.
    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aMIX3xXmjVHE

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  7. #16

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I'm a little surprised we didn't get a bounce today (although the day's not over). I figured Friday's sell-off was a bit of an exaggeration because of the low volume trading, but no rebound today is a bit concerning.

    Of course it is the last day of the month, and the days after Thanksgiving week can be weaker than normal, but still, the bulls were given a little buying opportunity and they don't seem to be intereted yet.

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  9. #17

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    Wink Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Looking back, volume was huge during the days leading up Thanksgiving week last year (except for Wed and Friday) nearly double what we are seeing right now, with volume hitting 5 to 7 billion on the S&P.

    We're only seeing 3 to 4 billion lately. So, volume will be light on Wednesday and Friday for sure, but where are the traders this year?
    Like Bullitt stated...
    Out of work...

    The TARP bailouts really did not help those who caused the problems. Those folks - and, regretfully, many others - were blown out of the financial field. Hopefully, some of the good ones are busy building new financial business ventures. We may see some creative destruction out of this mess.

    TARP kept our basic financial structure afloat. It did nothing to support the failures. Where are the leadership of Bear Sterns, Merril Lynch, AIG, BofA, etc.. Actually, Kalefornea is looking for them. We need someone to market our crappy bonds...
    Lookin' up at the 'G Fund'!!!

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  11. #18

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Transports look to be trying to close near the highs of the day. Small caps strong too. It's all good. That resistance on the S&P is giving it some trouble today, however.


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  13. #19

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Transports look to be trying to close near the highs of the day. Small caps strong too. It's all good. That resistance on the S&P is giving it some trouble today, however.
    I've noticed that, but the transports have yet to make a higher high, but when/if they do, then wachout!

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  15. #20

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    I've noticed that, but the transports have yet to make a higher high, but when/if they do, then wachout!
    Transports will make a higher high before Christmas.
    Only logical packages being sent everywhere.
    The market will go up before the holiday.
    [Do what you think is right and proper]

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  17. #21

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Suspicious late sell-off. Did someone get the word on the jobs report due out tomorrow? Hmmm.

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  19. #22

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Suspicious late sell-off. Did someone get the word on the jobs report due out tomorrow? Hmmm.

    Tom, I can't prove it, but I think you're right that's exactly what it is. There's something wrong when the market is afraid to jump in long ahead of the jobs report.

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  21. #23

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    It seems to happen almost every Thursday afternoon before a Friday jobs report - up or down.

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  23. #24

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    It seems to happen almost every Thursday afternoon before a Friday jobs report - up or down.

    Problem is, if the Job report is better than expected, it will be expensive for us TSP'ers to buy in.

    But if the news is bad perhaps I'll IFT in at "for sale" prices

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