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Thread: tsptalk's Market Talk

  1. #2281

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Skorcher View Post
    Puerto Rico is run more like Greece than any of the 50 U.S. states. So in the near term the rest of the U.S. is ok. However the day of reckoning will come sooner or later on the U.S. federal debt. Can you imagine how the U.S. will be able to pay a $ trillion interest bill per year or more if interest rates rise to a normal 5%?
    More debt... or complete gutting of the DOD since you can't do anything with the social programs... but that is for a * thread
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  3. #2282

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    (With all this red ink today where's a good crystal ball (to tell ya when to jump in) when ya need one? )
    Since 1979, this has signaled a breakout in stocks

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/102795648?__s...&doc=102795648

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  5. #2283

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by Skorcher View Post
    Can you imagine how the U.S. will be able to pay a $ trillion interest bill per year
    Yep, just freeze all US investment/savings assets and pay the bills.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  7. #2284
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Based on the auto-tracker some felt today was a one-day event or an opportunity for a one day scalp on a DCB. Anyone here ready to call bottom?

    I guess I was pretty close when I mentioned a -2% on the S&P last Friday at least as of 1500 EST.


    Quote Originally Posted by OBXTrader View Post
    Yes, surprising to me the indifference, but then again we are Euro-centric....except when it comes to flu epidemics. One would have to remember 2008 to remember a -7.4% day......and people on this forum (me included) panic when we give up 2% in one day. When was the last time that even -2% in one day happened in the S&P?

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  9. #2285

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Jeff I was close to pulling the trigger. I got scared you know 2008 was not that long ago.
    I decided to stay away from the F as well, just in case I was wrong.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  11. #2286

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by OBXTrader View Post
    Based on the auto-tracker some felt today was a one-day event or an opportunity for a one day scalp on a DCB. Anyone here ready to call bottom?

    I guess I was pretty close when I mentioned a -2% on the S&P last Friday at least as of 1500 EST.
    It's a short holiday week so it could be unpredictable. I know it's often unpredictable, but now we have to consider pre-holiday reversals.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  13. #2287
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Tom - What gives me pause is how the Euro is way up against the dollar. Who's pulling those levers?

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    It's a short holiday week so it could be unpredictable. I know it's often unpredictable, but now we have to consider pre-holiday reversals.

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  15. #2288

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Or tanking for the long weekend.
    In Dog Beers I've only had two.

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  17. #2289

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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I'm sitting on the lily pad until tomorrow. Then we'll see whether how much I dare risk and whether the S,I, or F Fund is the place to be (or get a small piece of each one) for the next week or two. I don't want to miss out on a positive bounce but I remember 2008 and it took a while for the turmoil to subside through the meltdown. I jumped in several times thinking we were through the quagmire only to get hit with another 2% loss. Those can add up quickly. All the best in your investing.

    FS
    FogSailing
    Try to learn something about everything and everything about something.

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  19. #2290

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by OBXTrader View Post
    Tom - What gives me pause is how the Euro is way up against the dollar. Who's pulling those levers?
    Funny you should say that. I took a stab at a euro short today and got stopped out. Not sure why it's bouncing back like this.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  21. #2291
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    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    I assumed the ECB as a show of strength. People in the I fund are dodging an even bigger bullet, but there may be payback tomorrow.

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Funny you should say that. I took a stab at a euro short today and got stopped out. Not sure why it's bouncing back like this.

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  23. #2292

    Default Re: tsptalk's Market Talk

    Quote Originally Posted by burrocrat View Post
    i think it was monday, 29 june 2015.
    i tole ya.

    but i can't take credit for it, it was already in the cards before i answered. if you know what to look for, the writing was already sprayed on the wall.
    100g

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