Thread: AutoTracker Standings 2023 (non-premium)

For a moment, the top eleven members in the AutoTracker were all out of stocks. Almost all eleven were holding 100% G-fund, with a couple members holding some F-fund (bonds) as well.

That ended today though when two of them moved to the C-fund. The first among the tip of our investment community to get back into stocks in this sharp downturn and both choose to go 100% C-fund.

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Who can outperform the S-fund this month?

The S-fund is up 9.84% for November as of 27th.

With only three days left for the month of November, only two non-premium TSP Talk AutoTracker members have a better return for the month than the S-fund:

milog (10.10%) and bjean (9.87%) are the frontrunners to be the November AutoTracker Winners.

Both members have used 2 IFTs already this month so their only available move would be to the G-fund. Milog currently holds the number one position in the monthly standings, and currently holds 100% S-fund. Holding the fund will guarantee them to outperform the fund.

However, in second place is bjean who is beating the S-fund by just 0.03% higher November return while holding 30% C-fund and 70% S-fund. Holding their position will not guarantee them finishing the month above the S-fund. However, if the C-fund outperforms the S-fund enough over the next few days, they could steal the top position.

But there are others floating just below the 100 November S-fund holders who also hold some C-fund or even the I-fund. It would not take much from the C-fund for some of these members to move to the top positions of the list, above the S-fund, before the new month begins.

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The Top Ten

Only twenty-three TSP Talk non-premium AutoTracker members are outperforming the C-fund this year. Buy and holding the C or S-fund has not been a bad strategy through 2023, but these twenty-three members have weaved through this year's market action doing their best to avoid losses and optimize their return for the year.

With only five trading days left this year, let's put the spotlight on the top 10 members who are fighting for the title of best TSP investor.

The current top ten as of 12/20/2023 are:

1. Thetsai - +32.24%
2. Yanni123 - +31.88%
3. Radarvector - +31.72%
4. BHRUNIKH - +30.99%
5. ICEholes - +30.17%
6. Pickles - +29.69%
7. Milog - +29.58%
8. Scrsvs - 28.82%
9. Talking2jets - 27.91%
10. Pokerstar629 - 27.75%

Some of these names we have seen at the top all year. We were distinguishing thetsai and talking2jets as top performers as early as February of this year. Now thetsai is trying to hold the top spot with just a week of trading left. They currently hold 100% S-fund while their closest contenders hold a mix of the S-fund and the C or I-fund as well.

The current top ten's average IFTs used this year is 18.4. That is about 1.5 IFT per month. However, two members in the top ten are pulling that average down with an impressive five and six IFTs made all year to reach to the top 10:

Sitting at number 3 in the TSP Talk AutoTracker standings, radarvector has accumulated a 31.72% gain for 2023 with just 5 IFTs made all year. Radarvector's fund of choice was not consistent. They held all the TSP funds with the exception of the F-fund this year in their five IFTs. Their most impressive timing came exiting stocks mid-summer before the market started its second half pull back, re-entered for a single day to catch a 0.6% bounce in the C-fund, took the gains, then re-entered 50% C and 50% S-fund in late October before the market's current winter rally.

scrsvs has accumulated a 28.82% return through 2023 and has done so with just 6 IFTs. This smooth market timer spent a collective four months of the year holding 100% G-fund, about six month holding 100% S-fund, and a two-month stint holding 50% C and 50% I-fund. Scrsvs currently holds 100% S-fund.


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