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Thread: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

  1. #1

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    Default AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149



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  3. #2

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    Here are the top 15 folks who show up in the top 100 across all 4 timeframes.

    You may notice our favorite buy & holder Birchtree shows up on all of them

    Attachment 28953

    (Deleted the 1st post, some of the charts were out of order)
    Last edited by JTH; 06-07-2014 at 12:54 AM.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  5. #3

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    Attachment 28954
    Attachment 28955
    Attachment 28956
    Attachment 28957
    Attachment 28958

    I only went back to 2009

    #1 That's when I first put in a full year

    #2 2009 had to be hand-jammed, which took some time.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  7. #4

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    Hi JTH,

    How did you come up with the percentages? (I could cross check the numbers and answer my own question, but it's easier just to ask, and the odds favor that you used simple addition ) If you used simple addition, you will get faulty results:


    Suppose, an account has $100 first of the year, ends year up 10% for the year at $110, ends second year up 10% (for that year) at $121.

    Simple addition says total percentages over the two year span is 20% (10%+10%). But as you can see, it is actually 21% ($100 into $121).

    The differences/errors are amplified with higher account amounts (used internally by the tsptalk spreadsheet) and time (number of years span lasts).

    To do this correctly is more complicated and requires more work. (Using a pseudo account balance for each trader that runs to whole time span, etc.)


    They also do these simple addition of percentages in the alternative LMBF forums...also getting incorrect conclusions...guess I'll finally let them know as well by copying this to them.

    To any sensitive readers: not trying to fight (as so many times helpful (albeit: critical) information leads to on this site) just thought you would like accurate information. There is no easy way to tell someone: "Sorry, that's not correct if you did it like this..." But I tried.

    [COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]

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  9. #5

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    Sniff... no where to be found
    Rules:
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    - Don't put stuff in your signature that a Mod doesn't like

    "Government exists to protect all people’s rights, not some people’s feelings." - A. Barton Hinkle

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    Quote Originally Posted by RealMoneyIssues View Post
    Sniff... no where to be found
    I feel your pain RMI. If JTH ever does the bottom 149...I'll show up.
    "the biggest mistake that traders make is to let these short-term trades turn into longer-term investments when they don’t work." RevShark

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  13. #7

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    I'm shocked to be in this kind of company. I can honestly say it is all luck on my part.
    May the force be with us.

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  15. #8

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    Using anything other than simple addition, Tom is the only one who has the capacity to come up with compounded percentages.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  17. #9

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    Using anything other than simple addition, Tom is the only one who has the capacity to come up with compounded percentages.
    That's not true. Suffice to say that you simply don't know how to do it. And that's fine. Hopefully your numbers are close enough for gov't work.
    [COLOR=#0000ff][FONT=comic sans ms][I]"In the land of idiots, the moron is King."--Unknown[/I][/FONT][/COLOR]


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  19. #10

    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    woohoo! i made the 4-year list, uh huh, that's what i'm talkin bout.

    reading down those lists makes me realize how much i miss sugarandspice and mcduck.

    jth, that's quite a fan club you are developing there, but apparently you have 3 dissatisfied customers. i suggest you just refund their membership dues back to them and call it even.
    100g

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  21. #11

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    Quote Originally Posted by nasa1974 View Post
    I'm shocked to be in this kind of company. I can honestly say it is all luck on my part.
    Luck?

    Once, twice, maybe three times, but 5 years of luck...
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  23. #12

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    Default Re: AUTO TRACKER PERFORMANCE TOP 149

    Quote Originally Posted by userque View Post
    That's not true. Suffice to say that you simply don't know how to do it. And that's fine. Hopefully your numbers are close enough for gov't work.
    Userque, just because you can post something doesn't necessarily mean you should.

    I am well aware of, and know how to calculate the performance differences between adding verses compounding. While you may not agree with simple addition, taking five single years of data and compounding them, does not reflect the true performance either. The duration of time each member spends in each fund is not reflected because I do not have a 5-year history of all IFTs recorded. Tom is the only one who has access to this data and he is one of the few here who can calculate those results on a scale this large. Furthermore, I think most folks know that without account balances and contributions, we can only estimate the performance results, thus we can only be as accurate as the data we have to work with.

    If you believe my results to be false or misleading, that's fine, you've made your point.
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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