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Thread: Will the S Fund Rebound?

  1. #37

    Join Date
    Sep 2007
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    Almost Heaven
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    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Quote Originally Posted by DennisFAA View Post
    Minnow..I'm glad the weather missed you..I know what Stormadoes are like, living here in central OK.

    Anywho, How do you compute the actual $$$ for the percentages in gains or losses, as you did here? I was hoping to learn this by seeing what peeps are doing, but I've yet to figure it out or to learn how...If it is a complex formula of various sources of input..then never mind..I'll just will wait for someone more savvy than me to reveal the daily tally such as you did here..I figure I can't learn if I don't ask though...Thanks
    Hey Dennis.... today was easy...
    G fund: paid on Wednesday so it wasn't going to pay the penny again that soon. (350z, James and SCHAGAN are real good at calling when the G-penny will pay again -- it's a formula I can't seem to follow whenever there is a holiday)

    F fund: ended the day around .17% or so (sometimes it takes awhile to reconcile that one) therefore yesterday's "share" price 11.66 x .0017 = .01982 (round up to two pennies)

    C fund: ended the day around -.06% or so -- yesterday's "share" price 17.29 x .0006 = .0103 (don't round up)

    S fund: ended the day around .05% or so -- yesterday's "share" price 20.94 x .0005 = .0104 (don't round up)

    I fund: consult 350z's I fund thread (12% a year gave the EAFE link in one post) but basically look at www.mscibarra.com EAFE index around 11:30am to 12:00pm and if there aren't any big market movements or dollar fluctuations, then that will be pretty close to accurate. just a note: for the I fund, I basically just watch 350z's thread cuz that dude is really good at calling the "I" fund for the day before the TSP board posts the returns at 7:00pm ET.

    If you wanna see approximately how much money you made, then multiply the new "share" price times the number of "shares" of each fund you own. But then again, who wants to count their chickens before they hatch. As Kenny Rogers says, you never count your money, while it's sitting on the table, there'll be time enough for countin' ... when the dealings done.

    Hope this helps
    Which one of you nuts has got any guts? -- Randle P. McMurphy
    ... stupidity will always find a way. -- Nnuut

  2.  
  3. #38

    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Mesa, Arizona
    Posts
    111

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    I am kicking myself here this morning for jumping back into the S the other day. The charts were not clear. By this I mean, it could have gone either way (continue down or rebound) and I moved back in hoping it would rebound nicely. When you look at the August 16 low of 604.38 and the October 11 high of 713.32 on the DW4500, the current pullback to 687.4 is about 24%. While it is possible that this level could hold, we could also see a substantial pullback by as much as 68%. This leaves a wide range of further drop possible. And with the RSI still above 50, that leaves a lot of downside opportunity still. Look at late July/ealry August where the RSI drop from just above 50 down to below 30 encompassed about 70 points (10% loss!!). I am bailing tonight. Not worth the risk.

  4.  
  5. #39

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    wow.. bad time to be invested heavily in stock. I guess I'll just stay in S and see what'll happen next week... Will we see what happened in August in the next week? hope not.. too late for an IFT..

  6.  
  7. #40

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Gainesville, Florida, USA
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    24,244

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Be right and sit tight. Watch Griffin, he'll show how to bleed in the S fund. He's already bled 3.6% and will do so again today.

  8.  
  9. #41

    Join Date
    Dec 2006
    Location
    Idabel, OK
    Posts
    299

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Looks like the C Fund lost about -.44 and the S about -.53 today. According to 350z's estimate on the I, between -.47 and -.57, depending on the -FV. I would guess the F made about 3 or 4 pennies.

  10.  
  11. #42

    Join Date
    Apr 2005
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    Gainesville, Florida, USA
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    24,244

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    I think the "Cooler" should be held responsible for some of this mess.

  12.  
  13. #43

    Join Date
    Sep 2007
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    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Quote Originally Posted by Minnow View Post
    Hmmm??? the C -.01, the S +.01 the I +.09 the F +.02 (or .03) anybody sensing a BIG Friday tomorrow? I am... let's keep our fingers crossed
    Note to self: next time your spider senses are tingling... that's not good... yikes... good luck to all of us next week. I need a very stiff drink!!!
    Which one of you nuts has got any guts? -- Randle P. McMurphy
    ... stupidity will always find a way. -- Nnuut

  14.  
  15. Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Ouch, Ouch, Ouch. I should have stuck to my plan, and didn't as always. I think you are better in this voliatile market, to stay in G, and wait for these drops, and jump in. Then ride it up 3-4% and get out and wait patiently again. Did I Do it? No... today hurt.

    Oh well, hope for a big run up next week.

  16.  
  17. #45

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Negative...why?.......you'all will be back to where you were in no time. The G fund is always there if you can't handle this type of storms. Most of us have been through this many times. No big deal. Better days ahead!


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  19. #46

    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
    Mesa, Arizona
    Posts
    111

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    I am going to sit in G until I see a bottom. RSI has been as low as 40 today. At this point, I believe it is more likely to continue to drop to the 30 level than to go back up. Maybe by the end of the week, we will reach an entry point.

  20.  
  21. #47

    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    North Ogden UT
    Posts
    239

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    IMHO - Entry Point was Fridays close....

    Quote Originally Posted by Ed the Fed View Post
    I am going to sit in G until I see a bottom. RSI has been as low as 40 today. At this point, I believe it is more likely to continue to drop to the 30 level than to go back up. Maybe by the end of the week, we will reach an entry point.

  22.  
  23. #48

    Default Re: Will the S Fund Rebound?

    Might be a great fund to be for the next couple of days!!

  24.  
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