If they are looking to do it now would be the time. September the last two years were not good for the "S" or "C" funds. "S" -3.04/2020 and -4.00/2021. "C" -3.80/2020 and -4.65/2021.
May the force be with us.
This episode reminds me of April 2020 after the covid low. I was slow to jump in (like now) because I was convinced it would drop as soon as I got in. That is exactly what happened several times this year before June. It was starting to look good, so I added more, and it immediately dropped
The "S" fund finished at 0.22%. I'll take that every day.
May the force be with us.
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
The S-fund is on track to record its fifth straight day of gains today. The last time that happened was a six day stretch of gains between July 27th, 2022, through August 3rd, 2022. In those six days the S-fund gained 6.97%.
In the last four days the S-fund is up 5.47%, and the DWCPF, the index the S-fund mimics, is up an additional 0.75% intraday today.
Last Look Report |TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up
Chart Patterns | An ETF Trading Primer
Disclaimer: This is not advice or a recommendation.
Go "S" fund. Still 6 figures down from my high in November 2021.
May the force be with us.
Will the 200-day EMA protect the S-fund price?
Today the DWCPF (S-fund) lost 1.55%. Leading up to today, everyone invested in the S-fund has enjoyed the ride. The top 100 2023 returns among TSP Talk AutoTracker members are all 100% invested in the S-fund. But were today's losses a warning sign that the January climb its coming to its end? There will be a lot of catalysts for price movement the rest of this week with many earnings to come and the FOMC meeting that finishes Wednesday.
It is pretty clear that the FOMC will raise rates by 0.25% on Wednesday, this will the eighth straight FOMC meeting where rates were raised but the second in a row where the amount is decreased. What will get the market moving is what Jerome Powell has to say in the press conference that follows. Inflation is calming down along with the economy, so it seems the Fed has so far done their job. The worry is what will happen if they let off the brake. Despite wrongfully diagnosing the first signs of high inflation as transitory, they are now questioning whether the decline in inflation is also transitory; this would mean there is a need to continue tightening monetary policy.
Currently, more than 28% of allocations are in the S-fund among non-premium TSP Talk AutoTracker users. That makes it the most popular of the TSP stock funds. But that is down from 34% at this time last year. Members are finding it difficult to trust this market with the action of 2022 still in the rear-view mirror. One of the technical advantages that might bring peace to those invested and to those who have recently been buying is the 200-day EMA. The DWCPF (S-fund) traded below its 200-day EMA for the entirety of 2022. Now it has closed above it for the sixth straight trading session. If it can continue to remain above this moving average price, I think more investors will be willing to jump in.
Sfund130.jpg
Last Look Report |TSP Talk Weekly Wrap Up
Chart Patterns | An ETF Trading Primer
Disclaimer: This is not advice or a recommendation.
Yea I'd love me some S-Fund January gains, problem is, by the time I'm ready to go in, it's ready to go out
Seriously, I do like that the smaller caps are less tied to the USD exchange rate since they have less overseas exposure. I think if we had more IFT's I'd be willing to take more risk, if I were 20 years younger, I'd be buying with a fistful of dollars.
Retired, 10G/90C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats
Boom! The S-fund is quickly nearing the summer highs.
Tom
Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |
I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.
Let's hope it doesn't follow suite and fall to the October 2022 low.
May the force be with us.
From Lowry's
https://www.lowryresearch.com/Recent improvement in small-cap price indexes has led to gains in various measures of internal market strength, but thus far that progress has been inconclusive. Lowry’s OCO Segmented Adv-Dec Lines offer perspective - while large-cap breadth approaches an upside break, mid- and small-caps remain in downtrends.
Ideally, breakouts in both the OCO Mid- and Small-Cap Adv-Dec Lines above their respective August 2022 highs would confirm a market trend change to the upside. These observations reinforce the idea of the “mega-cap mirage,” which may be prematurely projecting the illusion of a new bull market, as it is historically small-cap stocks that lead the charge from major bottoms. However, if smaller-cap stocks continue to rise, and the Lowry indicators change course, the weight of evidence could shift in favor of an improbable long-term advance.
S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
EFA (I Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
BND (F Fund) (delayed) (Stockcharts.com Real-time) |
||
Yahoo Finance Realtime TSP Fund Tracking Index Quotes |
Bookmarks