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Thread: I fund

  1. #217

    Default Re: I fund

    Unofficial results for today:

    S&P 500 (C-fund): -2.30%; DWCPF (S-fund): -3.36%; EFA (I-fund): -1.99%.

    Monday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.81% for the I-fund (expect a -FV tonight). The buy-and-beholders stand pat.

    TNA: -11.12% (YTD: +20.51%). Sooner or later you're gonna have to stop throwing darts.

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

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  3. #218

    Default Re: I fund

    Unofficial results for today:

    S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.43%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.69%; EFA (I-fund): +1.42%.

    Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.61% for the I-fund. Add Monday's FV buffer of +1.04%, and the I-fund is up +0.43% for today. I am not sure of a +FV tonight, but it's going to be only half a percent if we get one.

    TNA: +5.06% (YTD: +26.61%). Perfect snapback to keep the bulls in the game. Bull trap?

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

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  5. #219

    Default Re: I fund

    Quote Originally Posted by ebbnflow View Post
    Unofficial results for today:

    S&P 500 (C-fund): +1.43%; DWCPF (S-fund): +1.69%; EFA (I-fund): +1.42%.

    Tuesday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.61% for the I-fund. Add Monday's FV buffer of +1.04%, and the I-fund is up +0.43% for today. I am not sure of a +FV tonight, but it's going to be only half a percent if we get one.

    TNA: +5.06% (YTD: +26.61%). Perfect snapback to keep the bulls in the game. Bull trap?

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.
    I-fund: +1.34%. Oops, forgot to factor in Japan's Nikkei which is still expected to track most of Wall Street's gains. Monday's FV buffer of +1.04% was added to Tuesday's MSCI EAFE of -0.61% (I-fund +0.43%). But due to the falling dollar and late market movement to the upside, a new FV of +0.91% got tacked onto the I-fund's final price (+1.34%). So tomorrow, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.91% at the get-go.

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  7. #220

    Join Date
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    Default Re: I fund

    Thank you for posting these updates
    Retired, 50G/50C_ BLOG: Stats for April, 2024 Stats

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  9. #221

    Default Re: I fund

    Quote Originally Posted by ebbnflow View Post
    I-fund: +1.34%. Oops, forgot to factor in Japan's Nikkei which is still expected to track most of Wall Street's gains. Monday's FV buffer of +1.04% was added to Tuesday's MSCI EAFE of -0.61% (I-fund +0.43%). But due to the falling dollar and late market movement to the upside, a new FV of +0.91% got tacked onto the I-fund's final price (+1.34%). So tomorrow, the I-funders will carry an FV baggage of -0.91% at the get-go.
    Monday's S fund - 3.40. I fund -1.90. From memory.

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  11. #222

    Default Re: I fund

    European markets went from positive to negative territory. The dollar is also on the rise (+0.25%).

    My early estimate of MSCI EAFE (I-fund) is for a loss of -0.50%. But if we add Tuesday's FV baggage of -0.91%, the damage would be at -1.41% for the I-fund. This could get uglier if things don't turn around.
    Last edited by ebbnflow; 04-17-2013 at 03:29 AM.

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  13. #223

    Default Re: I fund

    Unofficial results for today:

    S&P 500 (C-fund): -1.43%; DWCPF (S-fund): -1.58%; EFA (I-fund): -2.08%.

    Tuesday's FV baggage of -0.91% is added to Wednesday's MSCI EAFE of -0.99% (I-fund -2.00%).

    TNA: -5.09% (YTD: +20.17%). No need to guess, the triple patterns know where this market is headed.

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

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  15. #224

    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Location
    Missouri
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    8,619

    Default Re: I fund

    I feel like the Elephant Man just gave me my prostrate exam, twice.
    Socrates: "Democracy, which is a charming form of government, full of variety and disorder, and dispensing a sort of equality to equals and unequaled alike."

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  17. #225

    Default Re: I fund

    Official results for today:

    C-fund: -1.43%; S-fund: -1.58%; I-fund: -1.76%.

    For the I-fund: Tuesday's FV (fair value) baggage of -0.91% was added to Wednesday's MSCI EAFE of -0.99% (loss -2.00%). A bigger-than-usual price adjustment of +0.24% made it to the I-fund's final price. That's what happens when the TSP overlord overshoots the FV. Today, the I-fund is all squared up.

    TNA: -5.09% (YTD: +20.17%).

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.


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  19. #226

    Default Re: I fund

    Quote Originally Posted by ebbnflow View Post
    Official results for today:

    C-fund: -1.43%; S-fund: -1.58%; I-fund: -1.76%.

    For the I-fund: Tuesday's FV (fair value) baggage of -0.91% was added to Wednesday's MSCI EAFE of -0.99% (loss -2.00%). A bigger-than-usual price adjustment of +0.24% made it to the I-fund's final price. That's what happens when the TSP overlord overshoots the FV. Today, the I-fund is all squared up.

    TNA: -5.09% (YTD: +20.17%).
    Ebb, Wouldn't (.99%)+(.91%) = (1.90%) instead of (2.00%) + the .24% price adjustment for a (1.66%) I Fund loss?

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  21. #227

    Default Re: I fund

    Quote Originally Posted by Scout333 View Post
    Ebb, Wouldn't (.99%)+(.91%) = (1.90%) instead of (2.00%) + the .24% price adjustment for a (1.66%) I Fund loss?
    Oops! I really need glasses, but I refuse to wear one. Thanks a heap, Scout333. It's -1.90%, so the price adjustment goes down to only -0.14% (I-fund -1.76%).

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  23. #228

    Default Re: I fund

    Unofficial results for today:

    S&P 500 (C-fund): -0.67%; DWCPF (S-fund): -0.62%; EFA (I-fund): -0.31%.

    Thursday's MSCI EAFE shows a loss of -0.38% for the I-fund (no FV tonight).

    TNA: -1.85% (YTD: +17.95%). TNA following the triple patterns: +50% (Nov. '08-'13: +1,337%).

    For the TSP, the triple-pattern strategy tracks 3 different allocations at the beginning of the year:

    1. 50% S, 50% I, or 100% F.
    2. 100% S or 100% F.
    3. 100% S or 100 I, or 100% F.

    If you happen to choose strategy #2 (100% S or 100% F), you'd be sitting on top of the AutoTracker (yep, number one) right now. This year, I chose strategy #3 (100% S or 100% I, or 100% F), so I'm not doing as well. :toung:

    Added a link below for anyone to download past ebbcharts (2007-2013) and track the triple patterns.

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S&P500 (C Fund) (delayed)
I fund
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DWCPF (S Fund) (delayed)
I fund
(Stockcharts.com Real-time)
EFA (I Fund) (delayed)
I fund
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BND (F Fund) (delayed)
I fund
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