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Thread: I-Fund

  1. #25

    Default Re: imported post

    Too many I-fund threads, I guess...

    http://www.tsptalk.com/mb/i-fund/212...ng-i-fund.html

    I'm confused by what you said... Are you thinking the dollar is going to continue to spike, or has finished spiking?

    It sounds more like you're saying it will continue to spike, so wouldn't the I-fund be hurt by that? Thanks.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #26

    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Location
    Bethesda, MD
    Posts
    1,704

    Default Re: imported post

    I'm thinking that with the dollar spiking so aggresively and BOJ's QE, that the I-fund isn't nearly as bad as it may seem. At least through early Nov. Despite the longer term uptrend of the dollar, UUP can have a week or two of downward pressure and still remain in an uptrend... giving insitutional investors time to unwind from the surprise BOJ QE. Then, rather that going from I-fund to safety... I-fund to S/C-fund, post elections. Just a contrarian strategy worth discussing that bucks the mass trend since so many are sidelined by the fast spike in US equitities and predicting topping patterns. I agree with your assessments of inverted H&S and strong bullish patterns forming. PSARs with a max step adjusted from .2 (more volative) to .1 (less volatile) shows some pretty strong bullish trends that will continue until they are broken. And coming back to the I-fund/dollar... nobody thinks its a good trade today... which means its shaping up to be a great short term one... uup price is outside the top bollinger, with a strong chance of a short term reversal back into the band.

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  5. #27

    Default Re: imported post

    The U.S. markets are closed but overseas markets were open today. Europe was down Monday and Asia was up. I think the I-fund is leaning slightly negative going into Tuesday.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  7. #28

    Default Re: imported post

    Greek debt talks with euro zone break down, way forward uncertain

    http://finance.yahoo.com/news/france...111155699.html

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  9. #29

    Default Re: imported post

    I see the EAFE actually closed up 013% on Monday.

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    The U.S. markets are closed but overseas markets were open today. Europe was down Monday and Asia was up. I think the I-fund is leaning slightly negative going into Tuesday.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  11. #30

    Default Re: imported post

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    I see the EAFE actually closed up 013% on Monday.
    so monday count or does it roll over to tuesday?

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  13. #31

    Default Re: imported post

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    I see the EAFE actually closed up 013% on Monday.
    And that's with lots of negative geopolitics...Greece walking away from debt restructuring talks, More proof Russian artillery pieces are moving across border into Ukraine.
    CURRENTLY 100% G (as of COB 03/18/2024) 1st March IFT

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  15. #32

    Default Re: imported post

    It will incorporated into Tuesday's closing price.

    Quote Originally Posted by law87 View Post
    so monday count or does it roll over to tuesday?
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  16.  
  17. #33

    Default Re: imported post

    Quote Originally Posted by FireWeatherMet View Post
    And that's with lots of negative geopolitics...Greece walking away from debt restructuring talks, More proof Russian artillery pieces are moving across border into Ukraine.
    Yeah, and a little surprising since the European markets were down.
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  19. #34

    Default Re: imported post

    With the pop in the I Fund not occurring until 2 PM today I guess it will be another day for the fund to get shorted, I mean FVed. Oh well, at least it crossed over the 200 day SMA today.
    Allocations as of COB Dec 28 : 100% S. | Retirement Date:Dec 2025
    Past Returns:
    2020 31.85%,2019 27.97%,2018 -3.36%,2017 13.10%, 2016 -1.79%, 5Yr Avg 12.61%

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  21. #35

    Default I Fund FV

    Quote Originally Posted by Cactus View Post
    With the pop in the I Fund not occurring until 2 PM today I guess it will be another day for the fund to get shorted, I mean FVed. Oh well, at least it crossed over the 200 day SMA today.
    Looks like the FV is in your favor today. EAF up 0.59% and I Fund up 0.72%. That was with the dollar (UUP) up 0.04%.
    Go figure.

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  23. #36

    Default Re: I Fund FV

    Looks like the I Fund is regaining some strength against C and S. Perhaps I sold too soon.
    CURRENT ALLOCATION: 100% I AS OF C.O.B. 5/22/2017


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