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Thread: Dollar Hurting the I-Fund

  1. #1

    Default Dollar Hurting the I-Fund

    The dollar is up big again today after the strong jobs report.

    The I-fund continues to feel the pressure from this $ rally.

    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  3. #2

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Dollar Hurting the I-Fund

    It's almost tempting to buy some I Fund today with the dollar up 1.4%, rockets have to come back down to earth don't they?
    100 G COB 11/3/23

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  5. #3

    Join Date
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    Default Re: Dollar Hurting the I-Fund

    Too many bad economic reports have been coming out on the international front. The I Fund has been in a downward trend since it peaked in late June. A 3+ month bear trend = clear evidence of recession characteristics that are consistent with the kind of reports that have been coming out of major international markets. Just my opinion, but you're definitely playing with a volatile chemical that is already on fire if you have or put any of your money in the I Fund at the moment. I agree that it's bound to turn around eventually. But I'd expect better earnings reports and other positive indicators to present themselves FIRST before I'd be willing to put my money back into that fund.
    70C/30S as of 12/15/2014

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  7. #4

    Default Re: imported post

    The dollar's up solidly today and so far the EFA (I-fund) isn't participating in today's rally.



    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  9. #5

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    Default Re: imported post

    I read earlier that Japan's markets were closed today for a holiday. I also saw info that regulatory action in Italy was negatively affecting their Utilities stocks. I think that combo - in addition to the Dollar/Yen info you posted may have a fair amount to do with the I Fund's struggles today. I'm betting the next couple of days will see weakness too, since the ECB will be meeting on Thursday.
    70C/30S as of 12/15/2014

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  11. #6

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    Default Re: Dollar Hurting the I-Fund

    ___
    Watching the Dollar on the .25% box scale, we can see the ascending triangle hinting at a breakout. Notice the triple top and higher O trailed by a double O bottom for support.

    Attachment 31426
    Attachment 31427
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  13. #7

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    Default Re: Dollar Hurting the I-Fund

    Quote Originally Posted by JTH View Post
    ___
    Watching the Dollar on the .25% box scale, we can see the ascending triangle hinting at a breakout. Notice the triple top and higher O trailed by a double O bottom for support.
    Triple Top Breakout, I believe we'll need to add at least 1 more box (to avoid triggering a bear trap) and/or to get a revised price objective (the current one has been met).

    Attachment 31434
    Attachment 31436
    Retired, 55G/15C/15S/15I (Paper Trading)_ BLOG: Stats for March, Stats for Q1, 2024 Stats

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  15. #8

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    Default Re: Dollar Hurting the I-Fund

    "Lower 34 and 55 MA Bollinger Bands have yet to curl up to indicate a top has been put in place, so based upon this, there is at least another 6-8 months before any sort of a top is put in place."

    Current US Dollar Trend Defined | David Petch | Safehaven.com


    If true, could be continued weakness in the I Fund. Quite the dollar rally...
    100 G COB 11/3/23

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