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Thread: F fund

  1. #13

    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Location
    Pensacola, FL
    Posts
    6,311

    Default Re: F fund

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    Copied this from an earlier post.
    350Z's F fund calculator:

    TNX = 10 yr yield
    TYX = 30 yr yield

    Use the change in yields

    (TNX+TYX)*.25 = F fund change in %

    -(-.71+(-.98))*.25 = +.42%

    Agg shows .21%
    Either way it all = we got screwed
    If tears could build a stairway, I would walk right up to heaven and bring you back again.

  2.  
  3. #14

    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    Location
    Europe
    Posts
    7,844
    Blog Entries
    279

    Default Re: F fund

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    Guess that didn't work. Actual .27
    Bnd shows .30
    Yes you'd think after all this time the folks at TSP could give us their magicly delicious formula, I've come across the excel file that breaks each holding down I think it changes every month.

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  5. #15

    Default Re: F fund

    "Their always after me lucky charms"
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  7. #16

    Default Re: F fund

    10 year yield dropping again today( 2.10%). It could be a new low for this trend. The low was 2.03% in dec. 2009.

    I think we need to retest.

    AGG may break out to new high today. We shall see if it holds up.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  9. #17

    Default Re: F fund

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    10 year yield dropping again today( 2.10%). It could be a new low for this trend. The low was 2.03% in dec. 2009.

    I think we need to retest.

    AGG may break out to new high today. We shall see if it holds up.
    2.08% now.

    Several traders on TV say that we may see under 2% today. Wow!

    What is going on? Seems like some outside entity is trying to take down the markets. Maybe some sort of terrorist organization that has lots of money? Don't know but something is not right.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  11. #18

    Default Re: F fund

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    2.08% now.

    Several traders on TV say that we may see under 2% today. Wow!

    What is going on? Seems like some outside entity is trying to take down the markets. Maybe some sort of terrorist organization that has lots of money? Don't know but something is not right.
    2.04%

    Thinking of selling today with this huge pop in treasuries. Still looking for 1050 ish in s&p so we may still have room to run in bonds. G fund will return almost nothing with rates this low unless they keep it above inflation which just jumped up in CPI .
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average


  12.  
  13. #19

    Default Re: F fund

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    2.04%

    Thinking of selling today with this huge pop in treasuries. Still looking for 1050 ish in s&p so we may still have room to run in bonds. G fund will return almost nothing with rates this low unless they keep it above inflation which just jumped up in CPI .
    2.03% which is below the low of 2009 of 2.05%
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  15. #20

    Default Re: F fund

    Low since 1890 was 1.95% in 1941! We are not far from there. Now at 2.03%
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  17. #21

    Default Re: F fund

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    Low since 1890 was 1.95% in 1941! We are not far from there. Now at 2.03%
    Just looking at chart the low for today was 1.978%
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  19. #22

    Default Re: F fund

    Treasuries bouncing off lowes will keep me in for today I think. If we were still at 2% or so I might sell.
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  21. #23

    Default Re: F fund

    Interesting day yesterday in the treasurys. The 10 years dove hard to 1.978 which is close to historic low then bounced hard back up leaving a hanging man candle. This could be a reversal candle. It also gapped down so that may need to be filled. The F fund trend is still intact with a strong uptrend and RSI is not over 70 yet so it still has room to run.

    I feel like it's time to move back into stocks but I need a bounce off the lows to form a double bottom first. We could go through 1120 today. Also, I don't think holding over weekend would be appropriate right now. Patience!
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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  23. #24

    Default Re: F fund

    Quote Originally Posted by clester View Post
    Interesting day yesterday in the treasurys. The 10 years dove hard to 1.978 which is close to historic low then bounced hard back up leaving a hanging man candle. This could be a reversal candle. It also gapped down so that may need to be filled. The F fund trend is still intact with a strong uptrend and RSI is not over 70 yet so it still has room to run.

    I feel like it's time to move back into stocks but I need a bounce off the lows to form a double bottom first. We could go through 1120 today. Also, I don't think holding over weekend would be appropriate right now. Patience!
    From bloomberg:
    Yields on 10-year securities will fall to 1.8 percent within a month, said Akira Takei, head of the international fixed-income department at Mizuho Asset Management Co. in Tokyo, who correctly predicted this year’s rally. Mizuho Asset Management oversees the equivalent of $39.1 billion and is a unit of Japan’s second-largest bank. “A recession can’t be ruled out,” he said. “There are more hard times to come.”
    100 G
    RSI - Relative Strength Indicator DMA - day moving average

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