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Thread: Consumer Price Index (CPI)

  1. #25

    Default Re: Market News

    Inflation rose 8.6% in May, highest since 1981

    The consumer price index rose 8.6% in May from a year ago, the highest increase since December 1981. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose 6%. Both were higher than expected.

    Surging food, gas and energy prices all contributed to the gain, with fuel oil up 106.7% over the past year.

    The rise in inflation meant workers lost more ground in May, with real wages declining 0.6% from April and 3% on a 12-month basis.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/10/cons...-may-2022.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  3. #26

    Default Re: Market News

    Inflation rose 9.1% in June, even more than expected, as price pressures intensify

    The consumer price index, a broad measure of everyday goods and services, soared 9.1% from a year ago, above the 8.8% Dow Jones estimate. That marked another month of the fastest pace for inflation going back to December 1981.

    On a monthly basis, headline CPI rose 1.3% and core CPI was up 0.7%, compared to respective estimates of 1.1% and 0.5%.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/07/13/infl...intensify.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #27

    Default Re: Market News

    Consumer prices rose 8.5% in July, less than expected as inflation pressures ease a bit

    Prices that consumers pay for a variety of goods and services rose 8.5% in July from a year ago, a slowing pace from the previous month due largely to a drop in gasoline prices.

    On a monthly basis, prices were flat as energy prices broadly declined 4.6% and gasoline fell 7.7%. That offset a 1.1% monthly gain in food prices and a 0.5% increase in shelter costs.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/10/cons...ase-a-bit.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  7. #28

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    Default Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Consumer prices rose 8.5% in July, less than expected as inflation pressures ease a bit



    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/10/cons...ase-a-bit.html
    That actually is rather good news.

    I think it means the gasoline prices, which caused the big jump in inflation of everything, are coming back down, and six months from now, the inflation rate will be back to a reasonable number, without having to jack up interest rates too high. Another Fed rate hike or two, and things should be back near normal growth and normal interest rates.

    Major recession avoided- and just a blip in time, in my book.


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  9. #29

    Default Re: Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    Inflation rose 0.1% in August even with sharp drop in gas prices

    The consumer price index increased 0.1% in August. Excluding food and energy, the inflation gauge increased 0.6%, both higher than expected.

    Costs were driven by increases in food, shelter and medical care services, offsetting a sharp decline in gasoline prices.

    Real average hourly earnings adjusted for inflation rose 0.2% for the month. However, they remained down 2.8% from a year ago.

    The consumer price index, which tracks a broad swath of goods and services, increased 0.1% for the month and 8.3% over the past year.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/13/infl...as-prices.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  11. #30

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    Default Re: Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    Prices for food and other goods will not come down until the trucking industry gets some relief at the pump. It's still over $5/gal for diesel in a lot of places. The big trucks can take as much as 300 gal. on a fill up. That cost is paid by everyone. We need to concentrate on the cost to operate a Kenworth T2000, not a Ford F-150.
    Scott Harrison
    Senatobia, MS

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  13. #31

    Default Re: Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    Inflation increased 0.4% in September, more than expected despite rate hikes

    The consumer price index for the month increased 0.4% for the month, more than the 0.3% Dow Jones estimate, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. On a 12-month basis, so-called headline inflation was up 8.2%, off its peak around 9% in June but still hovering near the highest levels since the early 1980s.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/13/cons...ber-2022-.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #32

    Default Re: Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    Quote Originally Posted by tsptalk View Post
    Inflation increased 0.4% in September, more than expected despite rate hikes



    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/13/cons...ber-2022-.html
    it would have been much higher except for the Biden administration trying to lower oil prices, otherwise the 2023 COLA increase would have been more than 10%. Instead it got below 9%.
    "Our Constitution was made only for a Moral and Religious people. It is wholly inadequate to the goverment of any other." John Adams 10/11/1798

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  17. #33

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    Default Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    The Social Security Administration announced on Thursday an 8.7 percent increase in benefit checks for seniors starting next year, a response to the fastest inflation America has seen in four decades. The change will affect about 70.3 million Social Security beneficiaries, including roughly 8 million Supplemental Security Income recipients. The adjustment is expected to increase monthly Social Security checks by about $150 per month on
    Thursday's announcement represents the largest increase in Social Security payments in roughly four decades. The Social Security Administration increased the program's benefits by 5.9 percent at the beginning of this year in response to lower -- but still substantial -- inflation in 2021. The change is known as a cost of living adjustment, or COLA.

    "The guaranteed benefits provided by Social Security, including the annual COLA, are more crucial than ever, as high inflation remains a problem for older Americans," said Jo Ann Jenkins, chief executive of the AARP, which represents seniors, in a statement. "The automatic adjustment is an essential part of Social Security that helps ensure the benefit does not erode over time due to rising prices."

    Full article : https://archive.ph/K3HXb

    * SS =. 8.7%
    I THINK that 8.7% also applies to CSRS retirees, and FERS would be 1% lower at 7.7% raise in January, if I did that correctly. Is that right?

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  19. #34

    Default Re: Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    Consumer prices rose 0.4% in October, less than expected, as inflation eases

    The consumer price index increased 0.4% for the month and 7.7% from a year ago, both lower than estimates.

    Excluding volatile food and energy costs, so-called core CPI increased 0.3% for the month and 6.3% on an annual basis, also lower than expectations.

    Prices declined for medical care services, used vehicles and apparel. Shelter costs posted their highest monthly gain since 1990.

    Markets soared on the report and Treasury yields tumbled.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/10/cons...ion-eases.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  20.  
  21. #35

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    Default Re: Consumer Price Index (CPI)

    I'm sure the numbers were just manipulated in some way to look good. Three things below that are more important and had zero effect on the recent inflation numbers.

    - Looking like a split government ahead and that's less chance for any more stimulus.

    - School loan bailouts are facing serious challenges and that's creating a nice deflationary hit.

    - An end to the conflict in Ukraine is closer after this past week's action.

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  23. #36

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    Default Re: Market News

    Tomorrow (12/13) the Consumer Price Index will be made public at 8:30 AM ET. The forecast for the year-over-year change is 7.3%.

    Tomorrow will also be the beginning of the December FOMC meeting. The committee is expected to raise rates by 0.5% on Wednesday but the CPI will be fresh on their minds.

    Stocks are up today despite the potential for the CPI to spark volatility tomorrow.

    U.S. stocks rise as investors await inflation data and the Fed's rate decision
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