Thread: GDPNow GDP Estimates

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreases

On July 3, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2023 is 1.9 percent, down from 2.2 percent on June 30.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On July 6, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2023 is 2.1 percent, up from 1.9 percent on July 3. View GDPNow for more details.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

Second-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On July 10, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the second quarter of 2023 is 2.3 percent, up from 2.1 percent on July 6.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

The soft landing scenario seems to be real. So why the inverted 2/10 yield curve for over a year?

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Initial Estimate of Third-Quarter GDP Growth Is 3.5 Percent

On July 28, the initial GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2023 is 3.5 percent.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On August 1, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2023 is 3.9 percent, up from 3.5 percent on July 28.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

5% ?? The recession is dying before it gets here...

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On August 15, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2023 is 5.0 percent, up from 4.1 percent on August 8.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

Well, this is getting interesting...

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Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On August 16, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2023 is 5.8 percent, up from 5.0 percent on August 15.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increased

On August 24, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2023 is 5.9 percent, up from 5.8 percent on August 16.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On August 31, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2023 is 5.6 percent, down from 5.9 percent on August 24.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased

On September 14, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2023 is 4.9 percent, down from 5.6 percent on September 8.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx

Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Increases

On October 10, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2023 is 5.1 percent, up from 4.9 percent on October 5.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx