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Thread: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

  1. #1

    Default PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Key inflation indicator posts biggest year-over-year gain in nearly three decades

    The May core personal consumption expenditures price index, an important inflation gauge for policymakers, rose 3.4% from a year ago, in line with Wall Street estimates.

    That was the biggest increase since 1992 and reflective of ongoing price pressures.

    Consumer spending was flat for the month, missing expectations, while personal income declined 2%, less than the expected 2.7% drop.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2021/06/25/key-...-expected.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  3. #2

    Default re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Key inflation gauge for the Fed rose 0.5% in September, in line with expectations

    The core personal consumption expenditures price index in September increased 0.5% from the previous month and 5.1% from a year ago.

    Including food and energy, PCE inflation rose 0.3% for the month and 6.2% on a yearly basis.

    Personal spending rose 0.6%, more than expected amid the rise in prices.

    Compensation costs increased 1.2% in the third quarter, in line with estimates.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/28/pce-...ber-2022-.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  5. #3

    Default re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Key Fed inflation measure eased in December while consumer spending also declined

    Core PCE inflation, the Fed’s preferred measure, rose 4.4% from a year ago, its smallest annual increase since October 2021.

    Consumer spending, however, dropped 0.2%, pointing to an economy that was grinding to a halt as 2022 closed.

    Personal income increased 0.2% for the month, as expected.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/27/pce-...ber-2022-.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  6.  
  7. #4

    Default re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Key Fed inflation measure rose 0.6% in January, more than expected

    The core personal consumption expenditures price index increased 0.6% for the month, and was up 4.7% from a year ago.

    Headline inflation increased 0.6% and 5.4% respectively. All the numbers were higher than estimates.

    The numbers suggest inflation accelerated to start the new year, putting the Fed in a position where it likely will continue to raise interest rates.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/24/key-...-expected.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  8.  
  9. #5

    Default re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Key Fed inflation gauge rose 0.3% in February, less than expected

    The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy increased 0.3% for the month, the Commerce Department reported Friday. That was below the 0.4% Dow Jones estimate and lower than the 0.5% January increase.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/03/31/fed-...ary-2023-.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  11. #6

    Default re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Key inflation gauge for the Fed rose 0.3% in March as expected

    The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy increased 0.3% for the month, in line with the Dow Jones estimate. On an annual basis, so-called core PCE increased 4.6%, slightly higher than the expectation for 4.5% and down 0.1 percentage point from February.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/28/key-...-expected.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  13. #7

    Default Re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Inflation rose 0.4% in April and 4.7% from a year ago, according to key gauge for the Fed

    The core personal consumption expenditures price index rose 0.4% in April and 4.7% from a year ago, both a touch higher than expected.

    Despite the higher inflation rate, consumer spending held up well as personal income increased. Spending jumped 0.8% for the month, while personal income accelerated 0.4%.

    Immediately following the report, market pricing swung to a 56% chance that the Fed will enact another quarter percentage point interest rate hike at the June meeting.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/26/infl...r-the-fed.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

  14.  
  15. #8

    Default Re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Key Fed inflation measure shows prices rose just 0.3% in May

    The core personal consumption expenditures price index, a number closely watched by the Federal Reserve, increased 0.3% for the month.

    On the year, core PCE inflation increased 4.6%, though the headline number was up just 3.8%.

    Spending rose just 0.1% for the month, below the 0.2% estimate and a sharp drop from the 0.6% increase in April. Personal income accelerated 0.4%, ahead of the 0.3% estimate.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/06/30/pce-...may-2023-.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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  17. #9

    Default Re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Key Fed inflation rate falls to lowest annual rate in nearly 2 years

    Inflation showed further signs of cooling in June, according to a gauge released Friday that the Federal Reserve follows closely.

    The personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy increased just 0.2% from the previous month, in line with the Dow Jones estimate, the Commerce Department said.

    So-called core PCE rose 4.1% from a year ago, compared to the estimate for 4.2%. The annual rate was the lowest since September 2021 and marked a decrease from the 4.6% pace in May.
    https://www.cnbc.com/2023/07/28/pce-...une-2023-.html
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.


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  19. #10

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    Default Re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    The SOFT LANDING appears to be working.

    Stock futures liked that news.

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  21. #11

    Default Re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    PCE July data from Access Denied

    Personal income: 0.2% (vs 0.3% expected)
    Consumer spending: 0.8% (vs 0.7% expected)
    Inflation rate: 3.3% y/y
    Core Inflation: 4.2% y/y
    I'm not much to bitch about stuff, but I really, really miss the AMERICA that I grew up in.

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  23. #12

    Default Re: PCE Prices / Personal Income and Spending

    Personal Income and Outlays, August 2023

    Personal income increased $87.6 billion (0.4 percent at a monthly rate) in August, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (table 2 and table 3). Disposable personal income (DPI), personal income less personal current taxes, increased $46.6 billion (0.2 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $83.6 billion (0.4 percent).

    The PCE price index increased 0.4 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.1 percent (table 5). Real DPI decreased 0.2 percent in August and real PCE increased 0.1 percent; goods decreased 0.2 percent and services increased 0.2 percent (tables 3 and 4).
    Access Denied
    Tom
    Market Commentary | My Blog | TSP Talk Plus | |

    I am not a Registered Investment Advisor and this is not investment advice. Please do your own due diligence.

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